Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
176
FNUS52 KILM 141820
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
220 PM EDT Tue Oct 14 2025
.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will build across the area through Wednesday,
leading to a warming trend. A cold front Wednesday night will
usher in the coolest air since Spring. The late week period will
feature another warmup until the next cold front arrives Monday.
Fog potential for tonight is None.
NCZ105>110-150730-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
220 PM EDT Tue Oct 14 2025
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Clear Clear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 56 77 52 70
Max/Min RH (%) 93 62 87 40
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) N 4 N 5 Lgt/Var N 6
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) N 4 N 6 N 4 N 7
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1800 61/0900 1900 57/0900
Dispersion Fair Poor
DSI 2 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3800 3700
Transport Wind (mph) N 16 N 18
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 60800 66600
ADI Early 11 Poor 45 Gen Good 6 Very Poor 59 Gen Good
ADI Late 6 Very Poor 71 Good 6 Very Poor 67 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 5 5 4
Max LVORI Late 6 2 5 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F B F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
75 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
79 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
90 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
61 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
93 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
84 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-150730-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
220 PM EDT Tue Oct 14 2025
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Mclear Clear Clear Clear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 56 77 53 70
Max/Min RH (%) 95 55 89 39
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var N 4 Lgt/Var N 5
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var N 5 Lgt/Var N 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 61/0900 1800 57/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
DSI 2 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3900 3900
Transport Wind (mph) N 16 N 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 62400 58500
ADI Early 7 Poor 50 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 64 Good
ADI Late 6 Very Poor 71 Good 6 Very Poor 78 Good
Max LVORI Early 6 5 5 4
Max LVORI Late 6 1 5 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F B F B
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
78 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
84 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
57 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
90 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
84 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-150730-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
220 PM EDT Tue Oct 14 2025
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Mclear Clear Clear Clear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 57 76 53 70
Max/Min RH (%) 98 64 94 46
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var N 4 Lgt/Var N 5
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var N 6 Lgt/Var N 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 61/0900 1900 59/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
DSI 2 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3600 3900
Transport Wind (mph) N 16 N 17
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 57600 66300
ADI Early 7 Poor 49 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 56 Gen Good
ADI Late 5 Very Poor 67 Good 6 Very Poor 75 Good
Max LVORI Early 6 5 5 4
Max LVORI Late 6 3 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
78 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
84 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
64 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
94 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-150730-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
220 PM EDT Tue Oct 14 2025
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Clear Clear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 56 77 53 71
Max/Min RH (%) 98 56 92 42
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var NE 4
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var N 5 Lgt/Var NE 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1800 63/1000 1800 58/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
DSI 2 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3800 4100
Transport Wind (mph) N 15 N 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 57000 57400
ADI Early 6 Very Poor 50 Gen Good 4 Very Poor 57 Gen Good
ADI Late 5 Very Poor 64 Good 6 Very Poor 74 Good
Max LVORI Early 6 5 6 4
Max LVORI Late 7 2 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
81 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Light winds.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
95 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
59 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
92 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
86 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...Boatman