Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
426
FNUS52 KILM 161848
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
248 PM EDT Sun Jun 16 2024
.DISCUSSION...
High pressure just to our north should provide dry weather and
easterly winds for the first half of the week. A tropical
disturbance expected to remain to our south could spread a few
showers across the Carolinas Thursday or Friday.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-171100-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
248 PM EDT Sun Jun 16 2024
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None None
LAL 1 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 64 88 63 88
Max/Min RH (%) 96 45 96 48
Wind20ft/Early (mph) E 5 E 4 E 5 E 5
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var E 8 Lgt/Var E 9 G18
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 73/0800 2000 71/0700
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
Haines Index 4 4 4 4
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6000 5200
Transport Wind (mph) E 16 E 17
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 96000 88400
ADI Early 63 Good 72 Good 63 Good 84 Good
ADI Late 6 Very Poor 92 Good 5 Very Poor 94 Good
Max LVORI Early 4 6 4 5
Max LVORI Late 6 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
89 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 88 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent. East
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 97 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 63 percent. Southeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-171100-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
248 PM EDT Sun Jun 16 2024
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None None
LAL 1 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 67 91 64 91
Max/Min RH (%) 95 40 97 40
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SE 4 Lgt/Var SE 4 Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var E 5 Lgt/Var E 7
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 72/0800 2000 71/0800
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
Haines Index 3 4 4 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 7300 5800
Transport Wind (mph) E 13 E 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 94900 92800
ADI Early 75 Good 57 Gen Good 78 Good 85 Good
ADI Late 5 Very Poor 110 Very Good5 Very Poor 99 Good
Max LVORI Early 4 6 4 6
Max LVORI Late 6 1 8 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F A F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
46 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
47 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
99 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-171100-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
248 PM EDT Sun Jun 16 2024
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None None
LAL 1 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 67 89 65 87
Max/Min RH (%) 97 47 97 49
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SE 5 E 4 SE 5 E 5 G18
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var E 8 G17 Lgt/Var E 9 G20
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2100 74/0800 2000 71/0700
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
Haines Index 4 4 4 4
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5900 5400
Transport Wind (mph) E 16 E 17
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 94400 91800
ADI Early 68 Good 75 Good 70 Good 93 Good
ADI Late 6 Very Poor 94 Good 5 Very Poor 98 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 6 4 5
Max LVORI Late 6 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
89 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
55 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 91 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent. East
winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-171100-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
248 PM EDT Sun Jun 16 2024
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None None
LAL 1 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 67 91 64 90
Max/Min RH (%) 98 42 99 42
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SE 5 Lgt/Var SE 5 Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var E 6 Lgt/Var E 7
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2100 74/0900 2000 74/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
Haines Index 3 4 4 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 7000 6100
Transport Wind (mph) E 14 E 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 98000 97600
ADI Early 69 Good 57 Gen Good 83 Good 89 Good
ADI Late 6 Very Poor 102 Very Good5 Very Poor 106 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 5 7 4 6
Max LVORI Late 6 1 8 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F A F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
47 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
50 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 100 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 48 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...TRA