Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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687
FNUS52 KILM 150725
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
325 AM EDT Sat Jun 15 2024

.DISCUSSION...
Summertime heat is here to stay. A weak front will reach the area
this afternoon accompanied by scattered thunderstorms. Dry
weather is expected most of next week as high pressure remains
just to our north.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.

Fog potential for tonight is None.

NCZ105>110-152330-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
325 AM EDT Sat Jun 15 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Clear
Precip Chance (%)     20           20           0
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        None
LAL                   2            3            1
Max/Min Temp          95           66           90
Min/Max RH (%)        45           94           40
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  Lgt/Var      E  4         E  5
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   NE  4        E  4         E  8 G17
Precip Amount         0.18         0.11         0.00
Precip Duration       1            1
Precip Begin          12 PM        Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   12 AM
Inversion(Temp/Time)  80/0900      1900         74/0800
Dispersion                         Fair
Haines Index          4            3            4
DSI                   3                         3
Mixing Hgt (ft)       7000                      6400
Transport Wind (mph)  NW  9                     E 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    63000                     89600
ADI Early             44 Gen Good  26 Fair      74 Good
ADI Late              70 Good      7 Poor       87 Good
Max LVORI Early       5            5            6
Max LVORI Late        2            5            1
Min VSBY Early        7            7            7
Min VSBY Late         7            7            7
Turner Stability      A            E            B

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
92 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
94 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
92 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
49 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 93 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 51 percent.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-152330-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
325 AM EDT Sat Jun 15 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Mclear
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            0
Precip Type           None         None         None
LAL                   2            3            1
Max/Min Temp          95           68           91
Min/Max RH (%)        41           94           37
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      E  4
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   NE  4        Lgt/Var      E  6
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time)  80/0900      2000         73/0800
Dispersion                         Poor
Haines Index          4            3            4
DSI                   3                         3
Mixing Hgt (ft)       7300                      7000
Transport Wind (mph)  N 10                      E 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    73000                     84000
ADI Early             44 Gen Good  72 Good      70 Good
ADI Late              81 Good      7 Poor       84 Good
Max LVORI Early       5            4            6
Max LVORI Late        1            6            1
Min VSBY Early        7            7            7
Min VSBY Late         7            7            7
Turner Stability      A            F            A

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
41 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 97 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ054>056-058-059-152330-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
325 AM EDT Sat Jun 15 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Mclear
Precip Chance (%)     20           20           0
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        None
LAL                   2            3            1
Max/Min Temp          96           70           90
Min/Max RH (%)        42           99           48
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      E  5
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      E  8 G18
Precip Amount         0.22         0.13         0.00
Precip Duration       1            1
Precip Begin          1 PM         Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   1 AM
Inversion(Temp/Time)  80/0900      2000         74/0800
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Haines Index          4            3            3
DSI                   3                         2
Mixing Hgt (ft)       7300                      5500
Transport Wind (mph)  NW  8                     E 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    58400                     82500
ADI Early             42 Gen Good  22 Fair      61 Good
ADI Late              60 Gen Good  7 Poor       76 Good
Max LVORI Early       5            5            8
Max LVORI Late        2            6            1
Min VSBY Early        7            7            7
Min VSBY Late         7            7            7
Turner Stability      A            F            B

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
50 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 93 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
52 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-152330-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
325 AM EDT Sat Jun 15 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Mclear
Precip Chance (%)     20           20           0
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        None
LAL                   2            3            1
Max/Min Temp          95           70           92
Min/Max RH (%)        42           99           43
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      E  4
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   NE  4        Lgt/Var      E  6
Precip Amount         0.11         0.07         0.00
Precip Duration       0            1
Precip Begin          2 PM         Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   1 AM
Inversion(Temp/Time)  80/0900      2000         None
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Haines Index          4            3            4
DSI                   3                         3
Mixing Hgt (ft)       7500                      6100
Transport Wind (mph)  N  8                      E 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    60000                     85400
ADI Early             40 Fair      47 Gen Good  62 Good
ADI Late              67 Good      6 Very Poor  84 Good
Max LVORI Early       5            5            8
Max LVORI Late        1            6            1
Min VSBY Early        7            7            7
Min VSBY Late         7            7            7
Turner Stability      A            F            A

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
43 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
41 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
41 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
   NOT USED                    0             0 TO 14759
    0 TO 17249                 1         14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$