Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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696
FNUS52 KILM 151900
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
300 PM EDT Sat Jun 15 2024

.DISCUSSION...
A weak cold front will continue to move offshore this afternoon
and evening, with isolated showers and storms leveling off by
sunset. Dry weather is expected most of next week as high pressure
remains just to our north.

Fog potential for tonight is Low.

NCZ105>110-161100-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
300 PM EDT Sat Jun 15 2024

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear       Mclear
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip Type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   2            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          67           91           65           89
Max/Min RH (%)        94           43           94           47
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  SE  4        E  5         E  6         Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   Lgt/Var      E  8 G17     Lgt/Var      E  7
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time)  1900         75/0800      2000         73/0700
Dispersion            Poor                      Very Poor
Haines Index          3            4            4            4
DSI                                3                         3
Mixing Hgt (ft)                    6300                      5900
Transport Wind (mph)               E 15                      E 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 94500                     88500
ADI Early             26 Fair      67 Good      64 Good      65 Good
ADI Late              7 Poor       84 Good      5 Very Poor  84 Good
Max LVORI Early       5            6            4            5
Max LVORI Late        6            1            5            1
Min VSBY Early        7            7            7
Min VSBY Late         7            7            7
Turner Stability      E            B            F            B

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
89 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
87 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
54 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 87 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
91 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 56 percent. Southeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-161100-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
300 PM EDT Sat Jun 15 2024

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear       Mclear
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip Type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   2            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          68           91           66           92
Max/Min RH (%)        95           41           96           42
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  Lgt/Var      E  4         SE  5        Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   Lgt/Var      E  6         Lgt/Var      E  5
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time)  2000         74/0800      2000         73/0900
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Very Poor
Haines Index          3            4            4            4
DSI                                3                         3
Mixing Hgt (ft)                    6600                      6200
Transport Wind (mph)               E 12                      SE 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 79200                     86800
ADI Early             54 Gen Good  56 Gen Good  73 Good      46 Gen Good
ADI Late              7 Poor       83 Good      5 Very Poor  91 Good
Max LVORI Early       4            6            4            6
Max LVORI Late        6            1            6            1
Min VSBY Early        7            7            7
Min VSBY Late         7            7            7
Turner Stability      E            A            F            A

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
44 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
44 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
94 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 45 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ054>056-058-059-161100-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
300 PM EDT Sat Jun 15 2024

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear       Mclear
Precip Chance (%)     20           0            0            0
Precip Type           Tstms        None         None         None
LAL                   2            2            1            1
Min/Max Temp          70           90           67           88
Max/Min RH (%)        97           50           95           50
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  Lgt/Var      E  4         E  6         E  4
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   Lgt/Var      E  8 G17     Lgt/Var      E  7 G17
Precip Amount         0.13         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration       1
Precip Begin          6 PM
Precip End            12 AM
Inversion(Temp/Time)  1900         76/0800      2100         73/0700
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Very Poor
Haines Index          3            3            4            4
DSI                                2                         2
Mixing Hgt (ft)                    5400                      5300
Transport Wind (mph)               E 14                      E 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 75600                     79500
ADI Early             27 Fair      54 Gen Good  62 Good      63 Good
ADI Late              6 Very Poor  75 Good      5 Very Poor  82 Good
Max LVORI Early       5            7            5            5
Max LVORI Late        7            1            6            1
Min VSBY Early        7            7            7
Min VSBY Late         7            7            7
Turner Stability      F            B            F            B

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
90 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
54 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
88 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 88 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 94 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-161100-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
300 PM EDT Sat Jun 15 2024

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mclear       Pcldy
Precip Chance (%)     20           20           0            0
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        None         None
LAL                   2            2            1            1
Min/Max Temp          69           92           66           91
Max/Min RH (%)        97           47           97           44
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  Lgt/Var      E  4         SE  5        Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   Lgt/Var      SE  6        Lgt/Var      E  6
Precip Amount         0.07         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration       1            0
Precip Begin          6 PM         2 PM
Precip End            12 AM        6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time)  2000         75/0800      2000         73/0800
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Very Poor
Haines Index          3            4            4            4
DSI                                3                         3
Mixing Hgt (ft)                    6500                      6300
Transport Wind (mph)               E 13                      E 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 84500                     94500
ADI Early             41 Gen Good  50 Gen Good  73 Good      51 Gen Good
ADI Late              6 Very Poor  83 Good      5 Very Poor  98 Good
Max LVORI Early       5            7            5            6
Max LVORI Late        6            1            8            1
Min VSBY Early        7            7            7
Min VSBY Late         7            7            7
Turner Stability      F            B            F            B

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 45 percent.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 45 percent. East
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
94 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 46 percent. East
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 45 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
   NOT USED                    0             0 TO 14759
    0 TO 17249                 1         14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

Forecaster...Boatman