Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
687
FNUS52 KILM 150725
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
325 AM EDT Sat Jun 15 2024
.DISCUSSION...
Summertime heat is here to stay. A weak front will reach the area
this afternoon accompanied by scattered thunderstorms. Dry
weather is expected most of next week as high pressure remains
just to our north.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is None.
NCZ105>110-152330-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
325 AM EDT Sat Jun 15 2024
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Clear
Precip Chance (%) 20 20 0
Precip Type Tstms Tstms None
LAL 2 3 1
Max/Min Temp 95 66 90
Min/Max RH (%) 45 94 40
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var E 4 E 5
Wind20ft/Late (mph) NE 4 E 4 E 8 G17
Precip Amount 0.18 0.11 0.00
Precip Duration 1 1
Precip Begin 12 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 12 AM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 80/0900 1900 74/0800
Dispersion Fair
Haines Index 4 3 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 7000 6400
Transport Wind (mph) NW 9 E 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 63000 89600
ADI Early 44 Gen Good 26 Fair 74 Good
ADI Late 70 Good 7 Poor 87 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 5 6
Max LVORI Late 2 5 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability A E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
92 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
94 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
92 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
49 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 93 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 51 percent.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-152330-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
325 AM EDT Sat Jun 15 2024
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 2 3 1
Max/Min Temp 95 68 91
Min/Max RH (%) 41 94 37
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var E 4
Wind20ft/Late (mph) NE 4 Lgt/Var E 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 80/0900 2000 73/0800
Dispersion Poor
Haines Index 4 3 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 7300 7000
Transport Wind (mph) N 10 E 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 73000 84000
ADI Early 44 Gen Good 72 Good 70 Good
ADI Late 81 Good 7 Poor 84 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 4 6
Max LVORI Late 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
41 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 97 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-152330-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
325 AM EDT Sat Jun 15 2024
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 20 20 0
Precip Type Tstms Tstms None
LAL 2 3 1
Max/Min Temp 96 70 90
Min/Max RH (%) 42 99 48
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var E 5
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var E 8 G18
Precip Amount 0.22 0.13 0.00
Precip Duration 1 1
Precip Begin 1 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 1 AM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 80/0900 2000 74/0800
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 4 3 3
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 7300 5500
Transport Wind (mph) NW 8 E 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 58400 82500
ADI Early 42 Gen Good 22 Fair 61 Good
ADI Late 60 Gen Good 7 Poor 76 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 5 8
Max LVORI Late 2 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability A F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
50 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 93 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
52 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-152330-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
325 AM EDT Sat Jun 15 2024
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 20 20 0
Precip Type Tstms Tstms None
LAL 2 3 1
Max/Min Temp 95 70 92
Min/Max RH (%) 42 99 43
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var E 4
Wind20ft/Late (mph) NE 4 Lgt/Var E 6
Precip Amount 0.11 0.07 0.00
Precip Duration 0 1
Precip Begin 2 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 1 AM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 80/0900 2000 None
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 4 3 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 7500 6100
Transport Wind (mph) N 8 E 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 60000 85400
ADI Early 40 Fair 47 Gen Good 62 Good
ADI Late 67 Good 6 Very Poor 84 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 5 8
Max LVORI Late 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
43 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
41 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
41 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$