Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
696
FNUS52 KILM 151900
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
300 PM EDT Sat Jun 15 2024
.DISCUSSION...
A weak cold front will continue to move offshore this afternoon
and evening, with isolated showers and storms leveling off by
sunset. Dry weather is expected most of next week as high pressure
remains just to our north.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-161100-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
300 PM EDT Sat Jun 15 2024
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None None
LAL 2 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 67 91 65 89
Max/Min RH (%) 94 43 94 47
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SE 4 E 5 E 6 Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var E 8 G17 Lgt/Var E 7
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 75/0800 2000 73/0700
Dispersion Poor Very Poor
Haines Index 3 4 4 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6300 5900
Transport Wind (mph) E 15 E 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 94500 88500
ADI Early 26 Fair 67 Good 64 Good 65 Good
ADI Late 7 Poor 84 Good 5 Very Poor 84 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 6 4 5
Max LVORI Late 6 1 5 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability E B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
89 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
87 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
54 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 87 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
91 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 56 percent. Southeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-161100-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
300 PM EDT Sat Jun 15 2024
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None None
LAL 2 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 68 91 66 92
Max/Min RH (%) 95 41 96 42
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var E 4 SE 5 Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var E 6 Lgt/Var E 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 74/0800 2000 73/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
Haines Index 3 4 4 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6600 6200
Transport Wind (mph) E 12 SE 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 79200 86800
ADI Early 54 Gen Good 56 Gen Good 73 Good 46 Gen Good
ADI Late 7 Poor 83 Good 5 Very Poor 91 Good
Max LVORI Early 4 6 4 6
Max LVORI Late 6 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability E A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
44 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
44 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
94 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 45 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-161100-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
300 PM EDT Sat Jun 15 2024
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 20 0 0 0
Precip Type Tstms None None None
LAL 2 2 1 1
Min/Max Temp 70 90 67 88
Max/Min RH (%) 97 50 95 50
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var E 4 E 6 E 4
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var E 8 G17 Lgt/Var E 7 G17
Precip Amount 0.13 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 6 PM
Precip End 12 AM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 76/0800 2100 73/0700
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
Haines Index 3 3 4 4
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5400 5300
Transport Wind (mph) E 14 E 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 75600 79500
ADI Early 27 Fair 54 Gen Good 62 Good 63 Good
ADI Late 6 Very Poor 75 Good 5 Very Poor 82 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 7 5 5
Max LVORI Late 7 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
90 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
54 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
88 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 88 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 94 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-161100-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
300 PM EDT Sat Jun 15 2024
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 20 20 0 0
Precip Type Tstms Tstms None None
LAL 2 2 1 1
Min/Max Temp 69 92 66 91
Max/Min RH (%) 97 47 97 44
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var E 4 SE 5 Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var SE 6 Lgt/Var E 6
Precip Amount 0.07 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 1 0
Precip Begin 6 PM 2 PM
Precip End 12 AM 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 75/0800 2000 73/0800
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
Haines Index 3 4 4 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6500 6300
Transport Wind (mph) E 13 E 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 84500 94500
ADI Early 41 Gen Good 50 Gen Good 73 Good 51 Gen Good
ADI Late 6 Very Poor 83 Good 5 Very Poor 98 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 7 5 6
Max LVORI Late 6 1 8 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 45 percent.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 45 percent. East
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
94 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 46 percent. East
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 45 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...Boatman