Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
282
FNUS52 KILM 150517
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
1217 AM EST Sat Nov 15 2025
.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will sink south through Florida this weekend
allowing breezy west to southwest winds to develop across the
Carolinas. Recovering dewpoints should keep relative humidity
above critical thresholds. A dry cold front will move offshore
late Sunday. High pressure should return Monday and Tuesday. Dry
weather is forecast through Friday.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is None.
NCZ105>110-151830-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
1217 AM EST Sat Nov 15 2025
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 73 58 78
Min/Max RH (%) 34 72 43
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) W 5 SW 7 G20 W 10 G21
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 8 G17 SW 9 G21 W 10 G20
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 62/1000 1600 62/0800
Dispersion Good
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 2800 5100
Transport Wind (mph) W 17 W 23
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 47600 117300
ADI Early 31 Fair 16 Gen Poor 64 Good
ADI Late 46 Gen Good 14 Gen Poor 77 Good
Max LVORI Early 4 3 3
Max LVORI Late 2 2 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B E C
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
53 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 25 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
64 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
58 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum
RH 99 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 59 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
64 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-151830-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
1217 AM EST Sat Nov 15 2025
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 73 58 78
Min/Max RH (%) 35 74 36
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) SW 4 SW 6 G19 SW 10 G23
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 7 G19 SW 8 G21 W 10 G23
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 61/1000 1700 61/0800
Dispersion Fair
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 2700 5500
Transport Wind (mph) W 17 W 25
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 45900 137500
ADI Early 28 Fair 14 Gen Poor 67 Good
ADI Late 51 Gen Good 15 Gen Poor 89 Good
Max LVORI Early 4 2 3
Max LVORI Late 2 3 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B E C
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
49 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 23 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
66 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 33 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
51 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
52 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
57 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-151830-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
1217 AM EST Sat Nov 15 2025
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 74 58 78
Min/Max RH (%) 34 69 47
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) W 4 SW 6 G18 W 9 G20
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 7 G17 SW 8 G18 W 9 G19
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 62/1000 1700 61/0800
Dispersion Fair
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3000 4100
Transport Wind (mph) W 20 W 23
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 60000 94300
ADI Early 29 Fair 12 Poor 65 Good
ADI Late 59 Gen Good 14 Gen Poor 77 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 3 3
Max LVORI Late 2 2 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B E C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
60 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 28 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
72 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
56 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum
RH 99 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 62 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
64 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-151830-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
1217 AM EST Sat Nov 15 2025
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 74 56 78
Min/Max RH (%) 33 77 38
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) SW 4 SW 6 SW 10 G21
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 8 G18 SW 8 G18 W 10 G21
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 61/1000 1700 61/0800
Dispersion Fair
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3000 5200
Transport Wind (mph) W 20 W 24
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 60000 124800
ADI Early 28 Fair 13 Gen Poor 61 Good
ADI Late 61 Good 14 Gen Poor 77 Good
Max LVORI Early 4 2 3
Max LVORI Late 2 3 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B E C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
53 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 24 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
72 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 34 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
48 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum
RH 99 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
53 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
56 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...TRA