Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
576
FNUS52 KILM 060537
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
137 AM EDT Mon Oct 6 2025
.DISCUSSION...
A few isolated showers may move onshore today, but overall, the
weather is expected to remain dry early this week. A warming
trend will continue through midweek, before a cold front brings
cooler temperatures and chances of rain for the latter half of the
week.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is Moderate.
NCZ105>110-061845-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
137 AM EDT Mon Oct 6 2025
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 83 63 84
Min/Max RH (%) 58 100 59
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) E 4 E 4 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) E 6 Lgt/Var SE 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 74/1000 1900 75/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5000 4200
Transport Wind (mph) E 14 SE 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 70000 54600
ADI Early 57 Gen Good 7 Poor 42 Gen Good
ADI Late 65 Good 5 Very Poor 54 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 6 6 7
Max LVORI Late 1 9 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Cooler. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum
RH 67 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum
RH 88 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 70s. Minimum RH 73 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
North winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Lows around 60. Maximum RH 97 percent. Northeast winds
around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 69 percent. North winds around
10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum
RH 92 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
64 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-061845-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
137 AM EDT Mon Oct 6 2025
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 85 63 85
Min/Max RH (%) 49 100 52
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) E 4 Lgt/Var SE 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 73/1000 1900 74/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5200 4500
Transport Wind (mph) E 13 SE 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 67600 54000
ADI Early 49 Gen Good 6 Very Poor 29 Fair
ADI Late 67 Good 4 Very Poor 58 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 5 6 8
Max LVORI Late 1 9 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 4 Fog
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
97 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Cooler. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum
RH 60 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
85 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
66 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
62 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum
RH 92 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
58 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-061845-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
137 AM EDT Mon Oct 6 2025
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 83 65 84
Min/Max RH (%) 60 100 60
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) E 4 E 4 G17 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) E 7 G17 Lgt/Var SE 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 75/1000 1900 74/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4500 4500
Transport Wind (mph) E 17 SE 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 76500 54000
ADI Early 57 Gen Good 10 Poor 50 Gen Good
ADI Late 68 Good 5 Very Poor 54 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 5 6 8
Max LVORI Late 2 9 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 6 Fog
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability C F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent. Light
winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Cooler. Highs
in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 71 percent. Chance of showers
40 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum
RH 87 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 70s. Minimum RH 77 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
North winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
96 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
67 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum
RH 93 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
63 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-061845-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
137 AM EDT Mon Oct 6 2025
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 84 62 85
Min/Max RH (%) 52 100 54
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) NE 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) E 5 Lgt/Var SE 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 74/1000 1900 74/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4800 4800
Transport Wind (mph) E 14 SE 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 67200 48000
ADI Early 45 Gen Good 7 Poor 40 Fair
ADI Late 72 Good 5 Very Poor 54 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 6 6 8
Max LVORI Late 1 9 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 2 Fog
Min VSBY Late 7 3 Fog 7
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
98 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Cooler. Highs around 70. Minimum RH
61 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
84 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
67 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
58 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum
RH 93 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
55 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...MAS