Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
303
FNUS52 KILM 231935
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
335 PM EDT Sun Jun 23 2024
.DISCUSSION...
Typical summertime diurnally driven convection expected this
afternoon through much of the upcoming work week. In addition,
hot and humid conditions to occur during the work-week that may
require heat advisories. A weak cold frontal passage Monday night
will also enhance the convection with isolated strong
thunderstorms possible. Some temporary relief from the heat
expected Tue with low rain chances existing through the latter
half of the week.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-241145-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
335 PM EDT Sun Jun 23 2024
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 20 60 60 20
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 3 4 4 3
Min/Max Temp 75 96 70 93
Max/Min RH (%) 98 45 96 45
Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 9 G20 SW 7 G19 SW 4 NE 4
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 8 G19 SW 7 Lgt/Var E 6
Precip Amount 0.01 0.20 0.11 0.00
Precip Duration 1 3 3 1
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2100 80/0800 1900 78/0900
Dispersion Good Very Poor
Haines Index 3 4 4 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6600 6000
Transport Wind (mph) W 17 E 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 112200 72000
ADI Early 75 Good 53 Gen Good 29 Fair 56 Gen Good
ADI Late 18 Gen Poor 102 Very Good5 Very Poor 65 Good
Max LVORI Early 4 5 5 6
Max LVORI Late 5 2 7 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 6 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 6 Rain 6 Rain
Turner Stability C B E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
55 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
60 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 99 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
56 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-241145-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
335 PM EDT Sun Jun 23 2024
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 50 40 0
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms None
LAL 2 4 3 2
Min/Max Temp 74 96 70 96
Max/Min RH (%) 98 43 93 37
Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 8 SW 5 Lgt/Var NE 4
Wind20ft/Late (mph) S 5 W 5 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.15 0.05 0.00
Precip Duration 2 2
Precip Begin 8 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 2 AM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2100 79/0800 2000 78/0900
Dispersion Fair Very Poor
Haines Index 3 4 4 4
DSI 3 4
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6000 7800
Transport Wind (mph) W 16 W 9
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 96000 70200
ADI Early 66 Good 48 Gen Good 63 Good 56 Gen Good
ADI Late 12 Poor 96 Good 5 Very Poor 81 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 6 4 5
Max LVORI Late 5 1 5 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 6 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 6 Rain 7
Turner Stability D B F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH
43 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH
51 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 53 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH
52 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH
49 percent. Light winds.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-241145-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
335 PM EDT Sun Jun 23 2024
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 20 50 50 30
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 2 4 4 3
Min/Max Temp 75 96 71 93
Max/Min RH (%) 97 43 96 46
Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 7 G18 SW 6 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 6 G17 W 6 Lgt/Var E 6
Precip Amount 0.01 0.11 0.12 0.01
Precip Duration 1 1 2 1
Precip Begin 6 PM 11 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End 2 AM Continuing Continuing 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2100 80/0800 2000 78/0900
Dispersion Fair Very Poor
Haines Index 3 4 4 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6400 7300
Transport Wind (mph) W 20 SE 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 128000 73000
ADI Early 53 Gen Good 66 Good 46 Gen Good 54 Gen Good
ADI Late 12 Poor 119 Very Good4 Very Poor 69 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 6 5 6
Max LVORI Late 5 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 6 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 6 Rain 6 Rain
Turner Stability D B E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 100 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
56 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-241145-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
335 PM EDT Sun Jun 23 2024
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 40 40 20
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 2 3 3 3
Min/Max Temp 74 96 70 95
Max/Min RH (%) 97 42 90 38
Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 6 SW 5 Lgt/Var NE 4
Wind20ft/Late (mph) S 5 W 5 Lgt/Var E 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.09 0.05 0.01
Precip Duration 1 2 1
Precip Begin 9 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2100 78/0800 2000 78/0900
Dispersion Fair Very Poor
Haines Index 4 4 4 4
DSI 3 4
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6700 8000
Transport Wind (mph) W 16 NW 9
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 107200 72000
ADI Early 65 Good 64 Good 81 Good 53 Gen Good
ADI Late 11 Poor 100 Good 5 Very Poor 80 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 6 4 5
Max LVORI Late 6 1 5 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability D B F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH
51 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 54 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 52 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 50 percent. Light
winds.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...LEW