Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
423
FNUS52 KILM 151825
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
225 PM EDT Sat Aug 15 2026
.DISCUSSION...
Heat and humidity will persist through the weekend and for most of
the upcoming week with rain chances continuing each day, though
coverage will be too low for any real drought releif.
Fog potential for tonight is Low near the coast and Moderate
inland.
NCZ105>110-160730-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
225 PM EDT Sat Aug 15 2026
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Mclear
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 40 30 20 10
Chance Thunder (%) 40 30 20 10
Min/Max Temp 74 92 75 99
Max/Min RH (%) 100 64 100 48
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var SE 5 Lgt/Var SW 6
Precip Amount 0.15 0.08 0.03 0.01
Precip Duration 1 1 0 0
Precip Begin 6 PM 10 AM Continuing 2 PM
Precip End 1 AM Continuing 8 PM 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 82/0900 2000 84/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3800 6100
Transport Wind (mph) SE 8 SW 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 30400 73200
ADI Early 6 Very Poor 27 Fair 8 Poor 33 Fair
ADI Late 4 Very Poor 32 Fair 4 Very Poor 69 Good
Max LVORI Early 6 8 6 8
Max LVORI Late 9 3 9 1
Min VSBY Early 7 6 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F B F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent. Light
winds.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
94 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-160730-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
225 PM EDT Sat Aug 15 2026
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Mclear
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 30 40 20 20
Chance Thunder (%) 20 40 20 20
Min/Max Temp 75 94 75 99
Max/Min RH (%) 100 56 100 43
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var SE 4 Lgt/Var W 4
Precip Amount 0.08 0.07 0.03 0.01
Precip Duration 1 1 0 0
Precip Begin 6 PM 11 AM Continuing 2 PM
Precip End 11 PM Continuing 9 PM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 81/0900 2000 82/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4700 6600
Transport Wind (mph) S 8 W 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 37600 66000
ADI Early 4 Very Poor 24 Fair 8 Poor 33 Fair
ADI Late 4 Very Poor 36 Fair 5 Very Poor 78 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 8 6 8
Max LVORI Late 9 2 9 1
Min VSBY Early 7 3 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F B F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Light
winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 47 percent. Light
winds.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 70s. Maximum RH 94 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 56 percent. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-160730-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Red Hill, Loris, and Aynor
225 PM EDT Sat Aug 15 2026
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Mclear
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 50 40 20 0
Chance Thunder (%) 50 40 20 0
Min/Max Temp 75 94 76 99
Max/Min RH (%) 100 60 100 45
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var SE 4 Lgt/Var SW 5
Precip Amount 0.13 0.07 0.02 0.00
Precip Duration 1 1 0
Precip Begin 6 PM 9 AM Continuing
Precip End 9 PM Continuing 9 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 83/0900 2000 84/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4300 6900
Transport Wind (mph) SE 7 W 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 30100 69000
ADI Early 5 Very Poor 20 Gen Poor 8 Poor 30 Fair
ADI Late 3 Very Poor 31 Fair 4 Very Poor 70 Good
Max LVORI Early 6 9 6 8
Max LVORI Late 8 3 9 1
Min VSBY Early 7 6 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 7 6 Rain 7
Turner Stability F A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum
RH 95 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 70s. Maximum RH 94 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 62 percent. West winds
around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-160730-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
225 PM EDT Sat Aug 15 2026
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Mclear
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 30 40 30 0
Chance Thunder (%) 20 40 20 0
Min/Max Temp 75 95 75 99
Max/Min RH (%) 100 54 100 41
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var W 4
Precip Amount 0.10 0.08 0.03 0.00
Precip Duration 1 1 0
Precip Begin 6 PM 12 PM Continuing
Precip End 11 PM Continuing 9 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 81/0900 2000 82/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4900 7200
Transport Wind (mph) S 7 W 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 34300 72000
ADI Early 3 Very Poor 22 Fair 6 Very Poor 31 Fair
ADI Late 3 Very Poor 39 Fair 4 Very Poor 82 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 9 5 8
Max LVORI Late 8 2 8 1
Min VSBY Early 7 3 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 7 6 Rain 7
Turner Stability F A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 51 percent. Light
winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Light winds.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 70s. Maximum RH 93 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 55 percent. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...MAS