Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
569
FNUS52 KILM 081806
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
206 PM EDT Wed Oct 8 2025
.DISCUSSION...
A cold front crosses the area this evening into tonight bringing
scattered showers and thunderstorms, followed by cooler
temperatures for the rest of the week. Offshore low pressure will
bring chances for rain and gusty winds to the area Friday through
Sunday mainly along the immediate coast.
Fog potential for tonight is None.
NCZ105>110-090715-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
206 PM EDT Wed Oct 8 2025
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Tstms None None Showers
Chance Precip (%) 40 0 0 20
Chance Thunder (%) 40 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 57 74 54 74
Max/Min RH (%) 96 50 83 63
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var NE 9 G22 NE 9 G23 NE 10 G23
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) NE 8 G22 NE 10 G23 NE 9 G23 NE 11 G23
Precip Amount 0.09 0.00 0.00 0.01
Precip Duration 1 0
Precip Begin 6 PM 2 PM
Precip End 2 AM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1800 60/0600 1900 56/0600
Dispersion Very Poor Excellent
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4700 4200
Transport Wind (mph) NE 21 NE 22
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 98700 92400
ADI Early 9 Poor 63 Good 25 Fair 52 Gen Good
ADI Late 19 Gen Poor 77 Good 18 Gen Poor 60 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 6 4 3 3
Max LVORI Late 5 1 3 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability E C D D
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Lows
in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Northeast winds around
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 85 percent. Northeast winds
around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent. North
winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 73 percent. North winds around
10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
92 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
58 percent. Northwest winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
63 percent. Northwest winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
92 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
61 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-090715-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
206 PM EDT Wed Oct 8 2025
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Showers None None None
Chance Precip (%) 20 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 58 73 52 74
Max/Min RH (%) 97 40 80 53
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var NE 8 G21 NE 7 G19 NE 9 G20
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) NE 7 G19 NE 9 G21 NE 7 G18 NE 9 G20
Precip Amount 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 6 PM
Precip End 1 AM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 59/0600 1900 55/0600
Dispersion Very Poor Good
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4700 4300
Transport Wind (mph) NE 20 E 18
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 94000 77400
ADI Early 14 Gen Poor 64 Good 23 Fair 45 Gen Good
ADI Late 21 Fair 80 Good 18 Gen Poor 52 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 6 3 3 3
Max LVORI Late 4 1 4 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability E C E D
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
92 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 77 percent. North winds around
10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Lows around 60. Maximum RH 95 percent. North winds
around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
66 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
92 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
52 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
57 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
90 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
53 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-090715-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
206 PM EDT Wed Oct 8 2025
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Tstms None None Showers
Chance Precip (%) 40 0 0 20
Chance Thunder (%) 40 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 59 73 55 73
Max/Min RH (%) 99 50 84 64
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var NE 9 G22 NE 8 G23 NE 10 G23
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) NE 6 G21 NE 10 G21 NE 9 G23 NE 11 G24
Precip Amount 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.03
Precip Duration 2 1
Precip Begin 6 PM 8 AM
Precip End 5 AM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 60/0600 1900 57/0600
Dispersion Very Poor Good
DSI 1 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4400 3800
Transport Wind (mph) NE 20 NE 22
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 88000 83600
ADI Early 3 Very Poor 60 Gen Good 24 Fair 48 Gen Good
ADI Late 20 Gen Poor 71 Good 19 Gen Poor 57 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 8 4 3 3
Max LVORI Late 7 1 3 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability E C D D
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 94 percent. Northeast
winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 80 percent. North winds around
10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Lows around 60. Maximum RH 97 percent. North winds
around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
66 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
96 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
61 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
91 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
58 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-090715-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
206 PM EDT Wed Oct 8 2025
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms None None None
Chance Precip (%) 30 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 20 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 58 73 52 72
Max/Min RH (%) 98 39 80 53
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var NE 9 G20 NE 6 G17 NE 9 G19
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) NE 7 G18 NE 10 G20 NE 8 G18 NE 10 G19
Precip Amount 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 6 PM
Precip End 2 AM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 60/0600 1900 55/0600
Dispersion Very Poor Fair
DSI 1 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4400 4200
Transport Wind (mph) NE 20 NE 18
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 88000 75600
ADI Early 5 Very Poor 64 Good 14 Gen Poor 45 Gen Good
ADI Late 22 Fair 77 Good 18 Gen Poor 51 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 7 3 3 3
Max LVORI Late 5 1 3 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability E C E D
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 71 percent. North winds around
10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum
RH 94 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
59 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
96 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
52 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
89 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 49 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$