Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
756
FNUS52 KILM 221237
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
837 AM EDT Wed Jul 22 2026
.DISCUSSION...
Above-normal heat and humidity and breezy southwest winds continue
through today with isolated showers and storms possible, mainly
along the sea breeze. A cold front will approach on Thursday with
scattered to numerous showers and storms expected to shift in
from the north during the afternoon into the overnight hours.
Periods of showers and storms will continue into the weekend as
the front stalls before being pushed offshore on Sunday.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is None.
NCZ105>110-230145-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
837 AM EDT Wed Jul 22 2026
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms None Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 20 0 60
Chance Thunder (%) 20 0 60
Max/Min Temp 95 78 91
Min/Max RH (%) 52 90 63
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) SW 10 G22 S 10 G23 SW 6 G19
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 13 G24 SW 8 G20 SW 6
Precip Amount 0.02 0.00 0.45
Precip Duration 1 3
Precip Begin 6 AM 6 AM
Precip End 5 PM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 82/0600 2100 81/0800
Dispersion Good
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5300 3700
Transport Wind (mph) SW 24 SW 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 127200 55500
ADI Early 77 Good 35 Fair 53 Gen Good
ADI Late 73 Good 15 Gen Poor 55 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 4 4 4
Max LVORI Late 1 4 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 5 Rain
Turner Stability D D C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Showers with thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper
80s. Minimum RH 76 percent. Chance of precipitation 90 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms
likely. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Showers with thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper
80s. Minimum RH 74 percent. Chance of precipitation 90 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
92 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-230145-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
837 AM EDT Wed Jul 22 2026
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 20 70
Chance Thunder (%) 0 20 70
Max/Min Temp 95 77 91
Min/Max RH (%) 39 92 63
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) SW 8 G22 S 9 G20 SW 4
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 11 G24 SW 6 W 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.02 0.35
Precip Duration 1 3
Precip Begin 11 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 80/0600 2100 79/0800
Dispersion Fair
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 7000 3500
Transport Wind (mph) SW 24 W 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 168000 49000
ADI Early 81 Good 28 Fair 39 Fair
ADI Late 101 Very Good13 Gen Poor 50 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 4 4 5
Max LVORI Late 1 5 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 6 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 7 5 Rain
Turner Stability C E B
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present Through Tonight.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Showers with thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper
80s. Minimum RH 77 percent. Chance of precipitation 90 percent.
Light winds.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Showers with thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper
80s. Minimum RH 75 percent. Chance of precipitation 80 percent.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 62 percent. Light
winds.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-230145-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Red Hill, Loris, and Aynor
837 AM EDT Wed Jul 22 2026
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms None Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 20 0 30
Chance Thunder (%) 20 0 30
Max/Min Temp 96 79 94
Min/Max RH (%) 45 90 51
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) SW 7 G20 S 9 G23 SW 5
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 12 G23 S 6 G18 SW 6
Precip Amount 0.03 0.00 0.15
Precip Duration 1 1
Precip Begin 8 AM 2 PM
Precip End 5 PM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 82/0600 2200 81/0800
Dispersion Fair
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6100 5700
Transport Wind (mph) SW 22 SW 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 134200 79800
ADI Early 74 Good 28 Fair 61 Good
ADI Late 77 Good 12 Poor 76 Good
Max LVORI Early 4 4 5
Max LVORI Late 1 5 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability C E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs around 90. Minimum RH 73 percent. Chance of precipitation
70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance
of precipitation 70 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Showers with thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper
80s. Minimum RH 73 percent. Chance of precipitation 80 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 65 percent. Northwest
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH
93 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-230145-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
837 AM EDT Wed Jul 22 2026
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 10 40
Chance Thunder (%) 0 10 40
Max/Min Temp 96 77 94
Min/Max RH (%) 37 91 49
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) SW 7 G20 S 8 G19 SW 4
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 11 G21 S 5 W 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.01 0.17
Precip Duration 1 2
Precip Begin 11 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 80/0600 2000 79/0600
Dispersion Fair
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 7200 5600
Transport Wind (mph) SW 22 W 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 158400 84000
ADI Early 78 Good 27 Fair 55 Gen Good
ADI Late 107 Very Good13 Gen Poor 77 Good
Max LVORI Early 4 4 5
Max LVORI Late 1 5 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 6 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 7 6 Rain
Turner Stability C E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Showers with thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper
80s. Minimum RH 71 percent. Chance of precipitation 90 percent.
Light winds.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Showers with thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper
80s. Minimum RH 73 percent. Chance of precipitation 80 percent.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs around 90.
Minimum RH 61 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$