Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
821
FNUS52 KILM 220644
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
244 AM EDT Sun Sep 22 2024
.DISCUSSION...
High pressure sfc and aloft will dominate this weekend and into
the middle of next week. A mid-level impulse will pass just north
of the area today dragging a backdoor cold front across the area
late tonight into Mon. Pcpn to remain isolated across the region
today into tonight. Otherwise looking at dry conditions and above
normal temps today, dropping back to near normal Mon thru Wed.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is Moderate.
NCZ105>110-222245-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
244 AM EDT Sun Sep 22 2024
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 2 2 1
Max/Min Temp 87 65 84
Min/Max RH (%) 60 100 65
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 4 Lgt/Var E 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 75/1000 1800 72/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 3 3 3
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3800 3800
Transport Wind (mph) SW 10 E 9
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 38000 34200
ADI Early 22 Fair 10 Poor 25 Fair
ADI Late 39 Fair 4 Very Poor 36 Fair
Max LVORI Early 7 6 8
Max LVORI Late 3 6 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
73 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
72 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 76 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 78 percent. East winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 88 percent. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 66 percent. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ096-099-222245-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
244 AM EDT Sun Sep 22 2024
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 2 2 1
Max/Min Temp 88 66 85
Min/Max RH (%) 58 100 63
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 74/1000 1900 72/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 3 4 3
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4100 3700
Transport Wind (mph) W 9 SE 8
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 36900 29600
ADI Early 24 Fair 11 Poor 23 Fair
ADI Late 45 Gen Good 4 Very Poor 38 Fair
Max LVORI Early 7 6 9
Max LVORI Late 3 7 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
72 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
68 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 100 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 74 percent. Light
winds.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 76 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 88 percent. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-222245-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
244 AM EDT Sun Sep 22 2024
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 2 1 1
Max/Min Temp 88 67 85
Min/Max RH (%) 56 100 65
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SE 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 75/1000 1900 72/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 3 4 3
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4400 3500
Transport Wind (mph) NW 8 SE 9
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 35200 31500
ADI Early 31 Fair 13 Gen Poor 21 Fair
ADI Late 42 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 35 Fair
Max LVORI Early 6 6 8
Max LVORI Late 3 6 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
71 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 72 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 75 percent. East winds
around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 87 percent. Southeast
winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 62 percent. East winds around
10 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-222245-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
244 AM EDT Sun Sep 22 2024
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 2 2 1
Max/Min Temp 88 67 87
Min/Max RH (%) 56 99 62
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SE 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 75/1000 1900 76/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 3 4 3
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4600 4300
Transport Wind (mph) SW 10 SE 9
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 46000 38700
ADI Early 18 Gen Poor 17 Gen Poor 22 Fair
ADI Late 47 Gen Good 4 Very Poor 39 Fair
Max LVORI Early 8 5 8
Max LVORI Late 3 6 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
72 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
67 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 98 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 76 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 97 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 82 percent. Southeast
winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 91 percent. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ032-033-039-222245-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
244 AM EDT Sun Sep 22 2024
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 2 2 1
Max/Min Temp 89 66 88
Min/Max RH (%) 50 100 57
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 75/1000 1900 75/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 3 4 4
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5000 4400
Transport Wind (mph) W 10 S 8
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 50000 35200
ADI Early 26 Fair 17 Gen Poor 22 Fair
ADI Late 55 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 42 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 7 6 9
Max LVORI Late 2 7 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
67 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
62 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 71 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 79 percent. East winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 92 percent. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 66 percent. East winds around
5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-222245-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
244 AM EDT Sun Sep 22 2024
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 2 1 1
Max/Min Temp 89 67 86
Min/Max RH (%) 53 100 62
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 75/1000 1900 73/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 3 4 3
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4900 3900
Transport Wind (mph) NW 8 SE 9
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 39200 35100
ADI Early 30 Fair 12 Poor 21 Fair
ADI Late 44 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 39 Fair
Max LVORI Early 6 6 9
Max LVORI Late 3 7 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
72 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 73 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 78 percent. East winds
around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 91 percent. Southeast
winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 64 percent. East winds around
10 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...dch