Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
969
FNUS52 KILM 120630
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
230 AM EDT Mon Oct 12 2026
.DISCUSSION...
Dry weather returns for this week as high pressure builds across
the area and remains in place.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-121930-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
230 AM EDT Mon Oct 12 2026
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Clear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 83 58 85
Min/Max RH (%) 59 100 55
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) W 7 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) NW 8 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 67/0900 1900 72/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4300 4700
Transport Wind (mph) N 16 N 7
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 68800 32900
ADI Early 56 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 24 Fair
ADI Late 68 Good 3 Very Poor 33 Fair
Max LVORI Early 5 6 9
Max LVORI Late 1 9 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability C F A
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present Through Tonight.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
56 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Light winds.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
84 percent. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
45 percent. North winds around 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Cooler. Lows in the mid 40s.
Maximum RH 69 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
North winds around 10 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-121930-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
230 AM EDT Mon Oct 12 2026
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Clear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 83 58 85
Min/Max RH (%) 56 100 51
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) W 6 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) NW 7 G17 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 70/1000 1900 71/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4500 4500
Transport Wind (mph) N 15 NW 6
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 67500 27000
ADI Early 60 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 17 Gen Poor
ADI Late 70 Good 3 Very Poor 30 Fair
Max LVORI Early 5 6 9
Max LVORI Late 1 9 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F A
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present Through Tonight.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows around 60. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
52 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Light winds.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Cooler. Lows in the mid 50s.
Maximum RH 78 percent. West winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Much cooler. Highs in the mid 60s.
Minimum RH 43 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear, colder. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum
RH 66 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Northeast winds around 10 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-121930-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Red Hill, Loris, and Aynor
230 AM EDT Mon Oct 12 2026
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Clear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 83 59 85
Min/Max RH (%) 57 100 53
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) W 5 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) NW 7 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 66/0900 1900 72/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4400 4600
Transport Wind (mph) N 14 N 6
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 61600 27600
ADI Early 38 Fair 5 Very Poor 22 Fair
ADI Late 72 Good 3 Very Poor 30 Fair
Max LVORI Early 5 6 8
Max LVORI Late 1 8 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Light winds.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
82 percent. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Cooler. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum
RH 45 percent. North winds around 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Cooler. Lows in the mid 40s.
Maximum RH 66 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
North winds around 10 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-121930-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
230 AM EDT Mon Oct 12 2026
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Clear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 83 58 85
Min/Max RH (%) 55 100 49
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) W 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) NW 6 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 66/0900 1900 70/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4500 4500
Transport Wind (mph) N 14 NW 6
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 63000 27000
ADI Early 46 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 15 Gen Poor
ADI Late 68 Good 4 Very Poor 30 Fair
Max LVORI Early 5 6 9
Max LVORI Late 1 9 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
50 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Light winds.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
77 percent. West winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Much cooler. Highs in the mid 60s.
Minimum RH 41 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear, colder. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum
RH 65 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...Boatman