Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
421
FNUS52 KILM 021751
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
151 PM EDT Tue Sep 2 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Limited shower activity expected through much of the week, with
best chances on Thursday ahead of a cold front and again on
Saturday into Sunday.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-030700-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
151 PM EDT Tue Sep 2 2025
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Mclear Clear Clear Clear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 59 85 61 87
Max/Min RH (%) 92 36 98 44
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var N 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var NE 4 Lgt/Var S 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 69/0900 1900 70/0900
Dispersion Poor Very Poor
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5600 6500
Transport Wind (mph) N 9 S 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 50400 65000
ADI Early 6 Very Poor 63 Good 4 Very Poor 32 Fair
ADI Late 5 Very Poor 68 Good 4 Very Poor 68 Good
Max LVORI Early 4 5 4 6
Max LVORI Late 5 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
58 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 94 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 60s. Maximum RH 92 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 76 percent.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-030700-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
151 PM EDT Tue Sep 2 2025
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Mclear Clear Clear Clear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 57 84 61 89
Max/Min RH (%) 93 36 99 39
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 69/1000 1900 68/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6100 6900
Transport Wind (mph) NE 8 SW 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 48800 82800
ADI Early 5 Very Poor 63 Good 4 Very Poor 38 Fair
ADI Late 5 Very Poor 70 Good 4 Very Poor 95 Good
Max LVORI Early 3 5 4 7
Max LVORI Late 6 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
96 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 54 percent. West winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-030700-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
151 PM EDT Tue Sep 2 2025
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Mclear Clear Clear Clear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 59 85 62 87
Max/Min RH (%) 91 38 98 47
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var NE 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var NE 4 Lgt/Var S 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 70/0900 1900 71/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5500 6600
Transport Wind (mph) NE 8 S 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 44000 66000
ADI Early 5 Very Poor 61 Good 4 Very Poor 31 Fair
ADI Late 5 Very Poor 64 Good 3 Very Poor 71 Good
Max LVORI Early 3 5 5 7
Max LVORI Late 6 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 56 percent. Light
winds.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 99 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
around 70. Maximum RH 96 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
around 70. Maximum RH 92 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 76 percent.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-030700-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
151 PM EDT Tue Sep 2 2025
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Clear Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 56 85 61 88
Max/Min RH (%) 92 36 98 40
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 71/1000 1900 69/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6300 7400
Transport Wind (mph) N 7 SW 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 44100 88800
ADI Early 5 Very Poor 58 Gen Good 4 Very Poor 46 Gen Good
ADI Late 5 Very Poor 63 Good 4 Very Poor 97 Good
Max LVORI Early 3 5 4 7
Max LVORI Late 5 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 53 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
90 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...21