Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
338
FNUS52 KILM 160724
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
324 AM EDT Mon Jun 16 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Bermuda High pressure will build westward across the area and
dominate the weather through Thursday. Hot and humid conditions
will make scattered showers and storms possible each day.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-162330-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
324 AM EDT Mon Jun 16 2025
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 50 40 50
Chance Thunder (%) 50 40 50
Max/Min Temp 90 72 91
Min/Max RH (%) 59 99 62
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) SW 6 SW 6 G18 SW 6
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 7 G18 SW 5 SW 8 G18
Precip Amount 0.31 0.30 0.05
Precip Duration 1 2 2
Precip Begin 11 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 77/0800 2000 77/0800
Dispersion Fair
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3900 5200
Transport Wind (mph) SW 16 SW 18
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 62400 93600
ADI Early 55 Gen Good 19 Gen Poor 71 Good
ADI Late 63 Good 10 Poor 84 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 5 5
Max LVORI Late 2 6 2
Min VSBY Early 7 6 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 6 Rain 7 6 Rain
Turner Stability B E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 92 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
60 percent. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
91 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 62 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-162330-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
324 AM EDT Mon Jun 16 2025
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 40 50 50
Chance Thunder (%) 40 50 50
Max/Min Temp 90 72 92
Min/Max RH (%) 58 99 60
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) SW 5 S 5 SW 5
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 6 SW 4 SW 6
Precip Amount 0.24 0.43 0.04
Precip Duration 1 2 1
Precip Begin 12 PM Continuing 7 AM
Precip End Continuing 6 AM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 75/0800 1900 76/0800
Dispersion Fair
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4400 5000
Transport Wind (mph) W 15 W 17
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 66000 85000
ADI Early 47 Gen Good 9 Poor 70 Good
ADI Late 71 Good 9 Poor 94 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 6 5
Max LVORI Late 1 7 2
Min VSBY Early 7 6 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 6 Rain 7 6 Rain
Turner Stability B E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 92 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
93 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 98 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Light winds.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-162330-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
324 AM EDT Mon Jun 16 2025
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 30 30 50
Chance Thunder (%) 30 30 50
Max/Min Temp 91 72 92
Min/Max RH (%) 56 98 59
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) SW 5 S 6 G18 SW 5
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 7 G18 SW 5 SW 7 G18
Precip Amount 0.05 0.08 0.01
Precip Duration 1 1 2
Precip Begin 12 PM Continuing 7 AM
Precip End Continuing 5 AM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 76/0800 2000 78/0800
Dispersion Fair
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5000 5600
Transport Wind (mph) SW 16 SW 17
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 80000 95200
ADI Early 53 Gen Good 12 Poor 81 Good
ADI Late 79 Good 9 Poor 96 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 5 5
Max LVORI Late 1 7 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 93 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
59 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
92 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
93 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 64 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-162330-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
324 AM EDT Mon Jun 16 2025
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 30 30 50
Chance Thunder (%) 30 30 50
Max/Min Temp 91 72 92
Min/Max RH (%) 55 99 56
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) SW 5 SW 5 SW 5
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 6 SW 4 SW 6
Precip Amount 0.05 0.22 0.01
Precip Duration 1 1 1
Precip Begin 1 PM Continuing 8 AM
Precip End Continuing 2 AM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 75/0800 2000 77/0800
Dispersion Fair
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5100 5500
Transport Wind (mph) SW 15 W 18
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 76500 99000
ADI Early 49 Gen Good 15 Gen Poor 75 Good
ADI Late 85 Good 9 Poor 108 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 5 5 5
Max LVORI Late 1 7 1
Min VSBY Early 7 6 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 99 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH
55 percent. Light winds.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...TRA