Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
418
FNUS52 KILM 051400
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
900 AM EST Thu Nov 5 2026
.DISCUSSION...
A storm system will impact the area on Friday, but rainfall
totals are not expected to be significant. Drier conditions will
return this weekend behind a cold front.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-060300-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
900 AM EST Thu Nov 5 2026
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None None Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 80
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 50
Max/Min Temp 84 65 79
Min/Max RH (%) 61 100 77
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 4
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) S 5 Lgt/Var SW 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.22
Precip Duration 4
Precip Begin 7 AM
Precip End Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 73/0900 1700 72/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4200 2700
Transport Wind (mph) S 14 SW 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 58800 43200
ADI Early 40 Fair 5 Very Poor 34 Fair
ADI Late 63 Good 5 Very Poor 35 Fair
Max LVORI Early 8 9 8
Max LVORI Late 4 9 4
Min VSBY Early 0 Fog 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 5 Rain
Turner Stability B F D
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the lower 40s.
Maximum RH 86 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
43 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH
46 percent. Light winds.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-060300-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
900 AM EST Thu Nov 5 2026
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None None Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 90
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 50
Max/Min Temp 83 65 79
Min/Max RH (%) 58 100 78
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 4
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) S 5 Lgt/Var SW 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.33
Precip Duration 6
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 71/0900 1800 71/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4400 2400
Transport Wind (mph) S 15 SW 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 66000 36000
ADI Early 47 Gen Good 7 Poor 30 Fair
ADI Late 66 Good 5 Very Poor 31 Fair
Max LVORI Early 8 9 8
Max LVORI Late 3 9 5
Min VSBY Early 0 Fog 7 5 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 7 5 Rain
Turner Stability C F D
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 48 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the lower 40s.
Maximum RH 87 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Light winds.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. Maximum RH
93 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
38 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH
40 percent. Light winds.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-060300-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Red Hill, Loris, and Aynor
900 AM EST Thu Nov 5 2026
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None None Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 80
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 50
Max/Min Temp 83 65 80
Min/Max RH (%) 61 100 77
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) S 5 Lgt/Var SW 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.21
Precip Duration 5
Precip Begin 7 AM
Precip End Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 72/0900 1800 72/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4600 2800
Transport Wind (mph) S 13 SW 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 59800 39200
ADI Early 51 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 30 Fair
ADI Late 47 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 31 Fair
Max LVORI Early 8 9 8
Max LVORI Late 3 9 5
Min VSBY Early 0 Fog 7 6 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 7 5 Rain
Turner Stability B F D
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Light
winds.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Cooler. Lows in the mid 40s.
Maximum RH 85 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Light winds.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
40 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
43 percent. Light winds.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-060300-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
900 AM EST Thu Nov 5 2026
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None Showers Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 10 80
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 20
Max/Min Temp 83 64 78
Min/Max RH (%) 58 100 77
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) S 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.01 0.27
Precip Duration 1 7
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 71/0900 1800 70/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4600 2500
Transport Wind (mph) SW 14 W 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 64400 25000
ADI Early 57 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 24 Fair
ADI Late 43 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 26 Fair
Max LVORI Early 8 9 8
Max LVORI Late 3 9 4
Min VSBY Early 0 Fog 7 3 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 7 5 Rain
Turner Stability C F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the lower 40s.
Maximum RH 88 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Light winds.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 33 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
35 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
36 percent. Light winds.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$