Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
144
FNUS52 KILM 041304
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
804 AM EST Wed Nov 4 2026
.DISCUSSION...
Warm and muggy conditions develop during the middle of this week
with high pressure offshore. A weak storm system will impact the
area late this week, but rainfall totals are not expected to be
significant. Drier conditions will return this weekend behind a
weak front.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is High.
NCZ105>110-050215-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
804 AM EST Wed Nov 4 2026
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 81 62 83
Min/Max RH (%) 65 100 66
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) E 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SE 5 Lgt/Var S 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 70/0900 1700 73/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3600 4100
Transport Wind (mph) SE 14 S 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 50400 49200
ADI Early 54 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 44 Gen Good
ADI Late 54 Gen Good 4 Very Poor 51 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 8 9 8
Max LVORI Late 4 9 4
Min VSBY Early 2 Fog 7 0 Fog
Min VSBY Late 7 2 Fog 6 Fog
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum RH 82 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers
40 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Cooler. Lows in the mid 40s.
Maximum RH 89 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
84 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 40 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-050215-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
804 AM EST Wed Nov 4 2026
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 81 62 83
Min/Max RH (%) 60 100 60
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SE 5 Lgt/Var S 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 68/0900 1800 71/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4100 4500
Transport Wind (mph) SE 15 SW 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 61500 54000
ADI Early 46 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 52 Gen Good
ADI Late 64 Good 4 Very Poor 58 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 8 9 8
Max LVORI Late 3 9 3
Min VSBY Early 1 Fog 7 0 Fog
Min VSBY Late 7 1 Fog 7
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 77 percent.
Chance of showers 90 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Cooler. Lows in the mid 50s.
Maximum RH 100 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the lower 40s.
Maximum RH 89 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 32 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
85 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 34 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-050215-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Red Hill, Loris, and Aynor
804 AM EST Wed Nov 4 2026
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 81 63 83
Min/Max RH (%) 64 100 62
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SE 5 Lgt/Var S 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 70/0900 1800 73/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4200 4800
Transport Wind (mph) SE 15 S 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 63000 48000
ADI Early 47 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 47 Gen Good
ADI Late 63 Good 4 Very Poor 51 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 7 9 8
Max LVORI Late 4 9 4
Min VSBY Early 1 Fog 7 0 Fog
Min VSBY Late 7 3 Fog 7
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum RH 78 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Cooler. Lows in the mid 40s.
Maximum RH 88 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 42 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 35 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 37 percent. Light
winds.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-050215-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
804 AM EST Wed Nov 4 2026
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None Showers
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 20
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 81 62 82
Min/Max RH (%) 60 100 60
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SE 5 Lgt/Var S 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 0
Precip Begin 7 AM
Precip End 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 72/1000 1800 71/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4300 4900
Transport Wind (mph) SE 14 SW 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 60200 58800
ADI Early 40 Fair 8 Poor 49 Gen Good
ADI Late 70 Good 4 Very Poor 57 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 8 9 8
Max LVORI Late 3 9 3
Min VSBY Early 0 Fog 7 2 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 4 Fog 7
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Showers. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 77 percent.
Chance of showers 90 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the lower 40s.
Maximum RH 91 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
Light winds.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 31 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 31 percent.
Light winds.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation below normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$