Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
263
FNUS52 KILM 160655
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
255 AM EDT Sun Aug 16 2026
.DISCUSSION...
Heat and humidity will persist through the weekend and for most of
the upcoming week with rain chances continuing each day, though
coverage will be too low for any real drought releif.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is Moderate.
NCZ105>110-162000-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
255 AM EDT Sun Aug 16 2026
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear
Precip Type Tstms Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 50 30 0
Chance Thunder (%) 50 30 0
Max/Min Temp 91 75 99
Min/Max RH (%) 69 100 48
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SE 4 Lgt/Var SW 5
Precip Amount 0.04 0.01 0.00
Precip Duration 1 0
Precip Begin 8 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 8 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 80/0900 2000 83/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3300 7100
Transport Wind (mph) SE 8 W 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 26400 92300
ADI Early 23 Fair 7 Poor 39 Fair
ADI Late 27 Fair 4 Very Poor 82 Good
Max LVORI Early 8 6 7
Max LVORI Late 3 9 1
Min VSBY Early 4 Rain 6 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 6 Rain 7 7
Turner Stability B F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Light
winds.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 66 percent.
Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 66 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-162000-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
255 AM EDT Sun Aug 16 2026
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear
Precip Type Tstms Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 50 50 0
Chance Thunder (%) 50 50 0
Max/Min Temp 93 75 99
Min/Max RH (%) 61 100 43
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var W 4
Precip Amount 0.16 0.07 0.00
Precip Duration 1 0
Precip Begin 8 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 8 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 80/0900 2000 82/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4000 8500
Transport Wind (mph) S 7 W 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 28000 102000
ADI Early 20 Gen Poor 6 Very Poor 38 Fair
ADI Late 29 Fair 5 Very Poor 97 Good
Max LVORI Early 9 6 7
Max LVORI Late 3 8 1
Min VSBY Early 2 Rain 6 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 6 Rain 7 7
Turner Stability B F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Light
winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Light winds.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-162000-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Red Hill, Loris, and Aynor
255 AM EDT Sun Aug 16 2026
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear
Precip Type Tstms Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 50 30 0
Chance Thunder (%) 50 30 0
Max/Min Temp 93 75 100
Min/Max RH (%) 65 100 45
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SW 4
Precip Amount 0.10 0.04 0.00
Precip Duration 1 0
Precip Begin 9 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 8 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 81/0900 2000 84/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3800 7800
Transport Wind (mph) SE 6 W 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 22800 78000
ADI Early 18 Gen Poor 6 Very Poor 35 Fair
ADI Late 22 Fair 4 Very Poor 74 Good
Max LVORI Early 9 7 7
Max LVORI Late 3 9 1
Min VSBY Early 3 Rain 6 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 6 Rain 7 7
Turner Stability B F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 65 percent.
Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum
RH 98 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Light
winds.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 66 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-162000-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
255 AM EDT Sun Aug 16 2026
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear
Precip Type Tstms Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 40 40 0
Chance Thunder (%) 40 40 0
Max/Min Temp 94 75 99
Min/Max RH (%) 57 99 41
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.09 0.04 0.00
Precip Duration 1 0
Precip Begin 2 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 8 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 80/0900 2000 82/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4600 9200
Transport Wind (mph) S 5 W 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 23000 92000
ADI Early 16 Gen Poor 5 Very Poor 33 Fair
ADI Late 26 Fair 4 Very Poor 96 Good
Max LVORI Early 9 6 6
Max LVORI Late 3 8 1
Min VSBY Early 2 Rain 6 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 6 Rain 7 7
Turner Stability A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 54 percent. Light
winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Light winds.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Light winds.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 60 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$