Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
537
FNUS52 KILM 210552
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
1252 AM EST Fri Nov 21 2025
.DISCUSSION...
A warm front surges northward through the area today, which should
lead to warmer temperatures despite mostly cloudy skies. Another
cold front will move through the area on Saturday night, followed
by dry high pressure. Even with the cold front, rain chances
remain rather low throughout the weekend.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-211900-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
1252 AM EST Fri Nov 21 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None Showers Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 20 30
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 20
Max/Min Temp 76 60 79
Min/Max RH (%) 65 99 61
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SW 6
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 5 SW 5 W 7
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.09
Precip Duration 0 2
Precip Begin 1 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 69/1100 1600 68/0900
Dispersion Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 2600 2500
Transport Wind (mph) W 13 W 18
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 33800 45000
ADI Early 15 Gen Poor 8 Poor 27 Fair
ADI Late 26 Fair 10 Poor 38 Fair
Max LVORI Early 9 8 5
Max LVORI Late 4 7 4
Min VSBY Early 7 6 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 7 6 Rain 7
Turner Stability D E D
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
68 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
69 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Cooler. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum
RH 52 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-211900-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
1252 AM EST Fri Nov 21 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 30
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 20
Max/Min Temp 75 60 79
Min/Max RH (%) 65 98 57
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SW 6
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 4 SW 5 W 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.11
Precip Duration 2
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 68/1100 1700 68/0900
Dispersion Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 2400 2600
Transport Wind (mph) W 14 W 18
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 33600 46800
ADI Early 20 Gen Poor 9 Poor 31 Fair
ADI Late 29 Fair 11 Poor 40 Fair
Max LVORI Early 9 7 5
Max LVORI Late 3 6 3
Min VSBY Early 5 Fog 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability C E D
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
99 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear, colder. Lows around 40. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
62 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Warmer. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
61 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 91 percent. Chance of showers
40 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Cooler. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum
RH 42 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-211900-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
1252 AM EST Fri Nov 21 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None Showers Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 20 20
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 20
Max/Min Temp 77 60 78
Min/Max RH (%) 62 99 63
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SW 5
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 4 SW 4 W 7
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.02
Precip Duration 0 1
Precip Begin 2 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 71/1100 1700 71/1000
Dispersion Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 2600 2900
Transport Wind (mph) W 10 W 22
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 26000 63800
ADI Early 17 Gen Poor 7 Poor 37 Fair
ADI Late 25 Fair 9 Poor 62 Good
Max LVORI Early 9 7 5
Max LVORI Late 3 7 3
Min VSBY Early 0 Fog 6 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability C F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
67 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
64 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Chance of showers
40 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Cooler. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum
RH 49 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-211900-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
1252 AM EST Fri Nov 21 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None Showers Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 20 20
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 20
Max/Min Temp 77 60 79
Min/Max RH (%) 60 97 58
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SW 6
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 4 SW 4 W 7
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.05
Precip Duration 0 1
Precip Begin 2 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 65/1000 1700 68/0900
Dispersion Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 2400 2700
Transport Wind (mph) W 12 W 21
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 28800 56700
ADI Early 19 Gen Poor 8 Poor 42 Gen Good
ADI Late 26 Fair 9 Poor 63 Good
Max LVORI Early 9 6 5
Max LVORI Late 3 6 3
Min VSBY Early 0 Fog 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability D F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum
RH 99 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear, colder. Lows around 40. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
60 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
60 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
around 50. Maximum RH 92 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Cooler. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum
RH 41 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...21