Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
325
FNUS52 KILM 161858
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
258 PM EDT Mon Jun 16 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Bermuda High pressure will build westward across the area and
dominate the weather through Thursday. Hot and humid conditions
will make scattered showers and storms possible each day.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-171100-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
258 PM EDT Mon Jun 16 2025
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Mclear Mclear
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 30 30 20 20
Chance Thunder (%) 30 30 20 20
Min/Max Temp 73 91 74 94
Max/Min RH (%) 95 62 91 54
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) SW 6 G18 SW 6 SW 7 G18 SW 6
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 5 SW 8 G18 SW 5 SW 9 G19
Precip Amount 0.38 0.05 0.01 0.00
Precip Duration 2 1 0 0
Precip Begin 6 PM 10 AM Continuing 2 PM
Precip End 6 AM Continuing 9 PM 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 78/0800 2000 77/0600
Dispersion Fair Fair
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4000 5200
Transport Wind (mph) SW 17 SW 20
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 68000 104000
ADI Early 20 Gen Poor 62 Good 17 Gen Poor 87 Good
ADI Late 9 Poor 69 Good 9 Poor 89 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 6 4 4
Max LVORI Late 6 2 5 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability E C F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
91 percent. South winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
92 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
95 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-171100-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
258 PM EDT Mon Jun 16 2025
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Mclear Mclear
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 40 30 30 20
Chance Thunder (%) 40 30 30 20
Min/Max Temp 72 92 74 94
Max/Min RH (%) 96 60 90 52
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) S 4 SW 5 S 5 SW 6
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 4 SW 7 SW 4 SW 8 G18
Precip Amount 0.74 0.05 0.01 0.00
Precip Duration 2 1 0 0
Precip Begin 6 PM 11 AM Continuing 2 PM
Precip End 5 AM Continuing 9 PM 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 77/0800 2000 77/0700
Dispersion Fair Fair
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4800 5800
Transport Wind (mph) W 16 SW 22
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 76800 127600
ADI Early 9 Poor 68 Good 12 Poor 89 Good
ADI Late 9 Poor 83 Good 8 Poor 119 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 5 6 4 4
Max LVORI Late 6 1 5 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability E B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
89 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
93 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in
the lower 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Chance of thunderstorms
30 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH
54 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
93 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-171100-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
258 PM EDT Mon Jun 16 2025
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Mclear
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 30 30 20 20
Chance Thunder (%) 20 30 20 20
Min/Max Temp 73 92 74 93
Max/Min RH (%) 95 58 89 53
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) SW 6 G18 SW 6 S 7 G18 SW 6
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 5 SW 8 G18 SW 5 SW 8 G19
Precip Amount 0.16 0.02 0.01 0.00
Precip Duration 1 1 0 0
Precip Begin 6 PM 11 AM Continuing 2 PM
Precip End 4 AM Continuing 9 PM 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 78/0800 2000 77/0600
Dispersion Fair Fair
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4900 5800
Transport Wind (mph) SW 16 SW 17
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 78400 98600
ADI Early 19 Gen Poor 72 Good 13 Gen Poor 81 Good
ADI Late 9 Poor 80 Good 8 Poor 100 Good
Max LVORI Early 4 5 4 4
Max LVORI Late 6 1 5 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability E B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
93 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
93 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 64 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-171100-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
258 PM EDT Mon Jun 16 2025
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Mclear
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 30 30 20 20
Chance Thunder (%) 30 30 20 20
Min/Max Temp 73 92 75 93
Max/Min RH (%) 96 56 91 49
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) SW 5 SW 5 SW 5 SW 5
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 4 SW 7 SW 4 SW 8
Precip Amount 0.48 0.02 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 2 1 0 0
Precip Begin 6 PM 1 PM Continuing 2 PM
Precip End 4 AM Continuing 9 PM 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 78/0800 2000 77/0700
Dispersion Fair Fair
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5400 5900
Transport Wind (mph) W 16 SW 21
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 86400 123900
ADI Early 22 Fair 70 Good 12 Poor 86 Good
ADI Late 9 Poor 97 Good 8 Poor 126 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 4 5 4 4
Max LVORI Late 6 1 5 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability E B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
91 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
95 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...CRM