Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
870
FNUS52 KILM 190712
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
312 AM EDT Thu Jun 19 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Warm and humid weather will continue with temperatures above
normal for most of the period. A slow-moving, weak cold frontal
passage will lead to some showers/storms today into Saturday.
Strengthening high pressure will then lead to a warming and
drying trend next week.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-192015-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
312 AM EDT Thu Jun 19 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 30 40 40
Chance Thunder (%) 20 40 40
Max/Min Temp 93 71 90
Min/Max RH (%) 57 98 56
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) SW 9 G19 SW 10 G24 W 4
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 11 G22 SW 6 G21 SW 4
Precip Amount 0.07 0.14 0.08
Precip Duration 1 2 2
Precip Begin 1 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 79/0800 2000 76/0800
Dispersion Fair
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4900 5400
Transport Wind (mph) SW 21 W 9
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 102900 48600
ADI Early 78 Good 30 Fair 29 Fair
ADI Late 75 Good 18 Gen Poor 47 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 4 4 6
Max LVORI Late 2 6 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 6 Rain 7
Turner Stability B D A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Light winds.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
95 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
95 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
62 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-192015-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
312 AM EDT Thu Jun 19 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Mclear
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 20 50 20
Chance Thunder (%) 20 50 20
Max/Min Temp 93 71 91
Min/Max RH (%) 48 98 49
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) SW 8 G18 SW 8 G19 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 10 G20 SW 4 Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.06 0.18 0.01
Precip Duration 0 2 0
Precip Begin 2 PM Continuing 2 PM
Precip End Continuing 6 AM 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 78/0800 2000 75/0800
Dispersion Fair
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6100 6200
Transport Wind (mph) SW 22 NW 7
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 134200 43400
ADI Early 82 Good 30 Fair 32 Fair
ADI Late 99 Good 12 Poor 44 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 4 4 6
Max LVORI Late 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 6 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B E A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Light winds.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Light winds.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-192015-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
312 AM EDT Thu Jun 19 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 20 40 40
Chance Thunder (%) 20 40 40
Max/Min Temp 93 72 91
Min/Max RH (%) 51 97 57
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) SW 7 SW 9 G21 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 10 G21 SW 5 G19 Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.08 0.13 0.07
Precip Duration 1 2 1
Precip Begin 1 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 79/0800 2000 77/0800
Dispersion Fair
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5600 5400
Transport Wind (mph) SW 18 SW 8
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 100800 43200
ADI Early 80 Good 27 Fair 28 Fair
ADI Late 78 Good 13 Gen Poor 45 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 4 4 6
Max LVORI Late 2 6 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B D A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Light winds.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
60 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-192015-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
312 AM EDT Thu Jun 19 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Mclear
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 20 40 20
Chance Thunder (%) 20 40 20
Max/Min Temp 94 71 91
Min/Max RH (%) 48 97 49
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) SW 7 G17 SW 8 G18 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 11 G19 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.05 0.15 0.01
Precip Duration 0 2 0
Precip Begin 3 PM Continuing 2 PM
Precip End Continuing 4 AM 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 78/0800 2000 75/0800
Dispersion Fair
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5900 6200
Transport Wind (mph) SW 21 NW 6
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 123900 37200
ADI Early 76 Good 28 Fair 31 Fair
ADI Late 95 Good 10 Poor 44 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 5 4 6
Max LVORI Late 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B E A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Light winds.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Light winds.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$