Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
303
FNUS52 KILM 310621
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
221 AM EDT Fri Jul 31 2026
.DISCUSSION...
Drier and more seasonable conditions continue through Saturday.
Elevated shower and thunderstorm chances return to the area
between Sunday and Tuesday.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-311930-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
221 AM EDT Fri Jul 31 2026
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 94 71 91
Min/Max RH (%) 36 90 49
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var S 4 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) S 4 Lgt/Var SE 8
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 80/0900 2100 79/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 7500 6200
Transport Wind (mph) SW 6 S 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 45000 93000
ADI Early 29 Fair 6 Very Poor 66 Good
ADI Late 53 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 90 Good
Max LVORI Early 6 4 5
Max LVORI Late 1 5 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability A F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. South winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Chance
of precipitation 70 percent. South winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers with thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper
80s. Minimum RH 77 percent. Chance of precipitation 90 percent.
South winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 76 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 74 percent.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-311930-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
221 AM EDT Fri Jul 31 2026
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 93 71 92
Min/Max RH (%) 33 94 45
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SE 7 G18
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 81/1000 2000 78/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 4 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 7900 7800
Transport Wind (mph) SW 6 S 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 47400 101400
ADI Early 29 Fair 6 Very Poor 71 Good
ADI Late 57 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 90 Good
Max LVORI Early 6 4 6
Max LVORI Late 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability A F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 95 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 66 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers with thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper
80s. Minimum RH 76 percent. Chance of precipitation 90 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 72 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 69 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 100 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 65 percent. Light
winds.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-311930-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Red Hill, Loris, and Aynor
221 AM EDT Fri Jul 31 2026
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 94 72 90
Min/Max RH (%) 32 94 51
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var S 4 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SE 8
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 80/0900 2100 80/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 8300 5600
Transport Wind (mph) SW 7 SE 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 58100 78400
ADI Early 31 Fair 6 Very Poor 68 Good
ADI Late 57 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 82 Good
Max LVORI Early 6 4 5
Max LVORI Late 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability A F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers with thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper
80s. Minimum RH 72 percent. Chance of precipitation 90 percent.
South winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance
of precipitation 70 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers with thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper
80s. Minimum RH 76 percent. Chance of precipitation 90 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 74 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 73 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 69 percent. Light
winds.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-311930-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
221 AM EDT Fri Jul 31 2026
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 93 71 92
Min/Max RH (%) 30 95 44
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SE 8 G17
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 81/1000 2000 79/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 8200 8600
Transport Wind (mph) W 6 S 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 49200 120400
ADI Early 25 Fair 6 Very Poor 72 Good
ADI Late 54 Gen Good 6 Very Poor 97 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 4 6
Max LVORI Late 2 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability A F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 97 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers with thunderstorms likely. Highs around 90.
Minimum RH 66 percent. Chance of precipitation 90 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers with thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper
80s. Minimum RH 72 percent. Chance of precipitation 90 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 66 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 100 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Light winds.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...BL