Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
218
FNUS52 KILM 190641
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
241 AM EDT Sun Jul 19 2026
.DISCUSSION...
Above-normal heat and humidity continue into early this week with
isolated showers and storms today and better rain chances across
northern areas this evening and again Monday afternoon as a cold
front stalls north of the area. A stronger cold front approaches
midweek with scattered to numerous showers and storms expected
between Wednesday and Thursday. Expect gusty southwest winds today
and again on Wednesday ahead of these fronts.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is None.
NCZ105>110-191945-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
241 AM EDT Sun Jul 19 2026
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 20 40 50
Chance Thunder (%) 20 40 50
Max/Min Temp 97 76 95
Min/Max RH (%) 46 92 57
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) SW 7 G17 SW 9 G23 SW 5
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 10 G23 SW 6 G19 SW 7
Precip Amount 0.02 0.15 0.12
Precip Duration 1 2 1
Precip Begin 2 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 81/0700 2100 80/0800
Dispersion Fair
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6100 5400
Transport Wind (mph) SW 22 SW 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 134200 81000
ADI Early 84 Good 28 Fair 59 Gen Good
ADI Late 104 Very Good10 Poor 66 Good
Max LVORI Early 4 4 5
Max LVORI Late 1 5 2
Min VSBY Early 7 6 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 7 6 Rain 7
Turner Stability B E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH 89 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 65 percent.
Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH
88 percent. South winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms
likely. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. South winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers with thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper
80s. Minimum RH 73 percent. Chance of precipitation 80 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Light
winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-191945-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
241 AM EDT Sun Jul 19 2026
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 20 60 60
Chance Thunder (%) 20 50 60
Max/Min Temp 96 75 94
Min/Max RH (%) 48 93 55
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) SW 5 SW 4 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 7 G17 Lgt/Var SW 5
Precip Amount 0.01 0.23 0.18
Precip Duration 0 3 2
Precip Begin 2 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 80/0800 2000 78/0800
Dispersion Poor
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6100 6500
Transport Wind (mph) W 18 SW 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 109800 84500
ADI Early 81 Good 13 Gen Poor 59 Gen Good
ADI Late 114 Very Good7 Poor 89 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 4 5
Max LVORI Late 1 5 2
Min VSBY Early 7 6 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 7 6 Rain 7
Turner Stability B E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with thunderstorms likely and a
chance of showers. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 93 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 70s. Maximum RH 90 percent. Chance of showers
40 percent. South winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Showers with thunderstorms likely. Lows in the
mid 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Chance of precipitation
80 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
around 70. Maximum RH 97 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 98 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Light winds.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-191945-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Red Hill, Loris, and Aynor
241 AM EDT Sun Jul 19 2026
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type None None Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 30
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 30
Max/Min Temp 97 76 95
Min/Max RH (%) 42 90 54
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) SW 6 SW 8 G21 SW 4
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 9 G21 SW 5 G17 S 7 G17
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.03
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 2 PM
Precip End Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 81/0800 2100 80/0800
Dispersion Fair
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 7200 7100
Transport Wind (mph) SW 20 SW 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 144000 99400
ADI Early 97 Good 14 Gen Poor 63 Good
ADI Late 107 Very Good10 Poor 86 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 4 5
Max LVORI Late 1 5 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH
90 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
62 percent. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH
88 percent. South winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH
60 percent. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. South winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 71 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 70 percent.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-191945-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
241 AM EDT Sun Jul 19 2026
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 20 40
Chance Thunder (%) 0 20 40
Max/Min Temp 95 75 95
Min/Max RH (%) 44 92 51
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) SW 5 SW 4 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 8 G18 Lgt/Var SW 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.05 0.05
Precip Duration 2 1
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 79/0800 2000 78/0800
Dispersion Poor
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6800 7500
Transport Wind (mph) SW 17 SW 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 115600 105000
ADI Early 78 Good 11 Poor 69 Good
ADI Late 124 Very Good7 Poor 95 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 4 5
Max LVORI Late 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 6 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 7 6 Rain 6 Rain
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 92 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH
54 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH
89 percent. South winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
around 70. Maximum RH 97 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
around 70. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent.
Light winds.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...Weiner