Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
912
FNUS52 KILM 071747
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
147 PM EDT Tue Oct 7 2025
.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will remain northeast of the area through Wednesday. A
cold front late Wednesday will bring an end to the warm stretch of
weather beginning Thursday. Cool temperatures to follow for end of
the week, with an offshore low possibly bringing rain and gusty
winds to the area Friday through Sunday.
Fog potential for tonight is Moderate.
NCZ105>110-080700-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
147 PM EDT Tue Oct 7 2025
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Showers Tstms Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 20 60 60 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 60 60 0
Min/Max Temp 66 84 58 71
Max/Min RH (%) 100 64 97 57
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var NE 10 G22
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var NE 7 G21 NE 11 G24
Precip Amount 0.00 0.03 0.32 0.00
Precip Duration 1 2 4
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 6 AM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 76/1000 1800 None
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4500 4500
Transport Wind (mph) W 9 NE 21
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 40500 94500
ADI Early 5 Very Poor 32 Fair 7 Poor 57 Gen Good
ADI Late 4 Very Poor 43 Gen Good 22 Fair 74 Good
Max LVORI Early 6 8 6 4
Max LVORI Late 8 3 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 4 Rain 6 Rain
Min VSBY Late 6 Rain 6 Rain 7
Turner Stability F B E D
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum
RH 81 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
67 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 91 percent. Northeast
winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 70s. Minimum RH 76 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
North winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 50s. Maximum RH 91 percent. Chance of showers
40 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 70s. Minimum RH 66 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
North winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
89 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
58 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
91 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
North winds around 10 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-080700-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
147 PM EDT Tue Oct 7 2025
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 0 50 50 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 50 50 0
Min/Max Temp 66 84 58 71
Max/Min RH (%) 100 64 97 46
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var NE 9 G23
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var NE 8 G20 NE 10 G23
Precip Amount 0.00 0.08 0.20 0.00
Precip Duration 2 2
Precip Begin 8 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 6 AM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 74/1000 1900 None
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4200 4300
Transport Wind (mph) W 9 NE 20
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 37800 86000
ADI Early 5 Very Poor 32 Fair 8 Poor 61 Good
ADI Late 4 Very Poor 38 Fair 21 Fair 73 Good
Max LVORI Early 8 8 7 3
Max LVORI Late 9 3 5 1
Min VSBY Early 7 2 Rain 6 Rain
Min VSBY Late 3 Fog 6 Rain 7
Turner Stability F B E C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
78 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
59 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
67 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum
RH 89 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
59 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
90 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
90 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-080700-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
147 PM EDT Tue Oct 7 2025
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Showers Tstms Tstms Showers
Chance Precip (%) 20 50 50 20
Chance Thunder (%) 0 50 50 0
Min/Max Temp 65 85 59 70
Max/Min RH (%) 100 62 99 60
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var NE 10 G22
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var NE 5 G19 NE 11 G23
Precip Amount 0.00 0.04 0.28 0.07
Precip Duration 0 1 2 1
Precip Begin 6 PM 9 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End 9 PM Continuing Continuing 2 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 75/1000 1900 None
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
DSI 2 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4600 3600
Transport Wind (mph) W 7 NE 20
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 32200 72000
ADI Early 5 Very Poor 24 Fair 4 Very Poor 47 Gen Good
ADI Late 4 Very Poor 29 Fair 24 Fair 61 Good
Max LVORI Early 9 9 7 4
Max LVORI Late 9 3 8 2
Min VSBY Early 7 1 Rain 6 Rain
Min VSBY Late 3 Rain 6 Rain 7
Turner Stability F B E D
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum
RH 81 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
69 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
around 60. Maximum RH 90 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 71 percent. North winds around
10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum
RH 90 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
63 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
89 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
North winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
90 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
North winds around 10 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-080700-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
147 PM EDT Tue Oct 7 2025
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 0 50 40 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 50 40 0
Min/Max Temp 65 84 58 70
Max/Min RH (%) 100 63 99 46
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var NE 10 G21
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var NE 7 G19 NE 10 G21
Precip Amount 0.00 0.09 0.22 0.00
Precip Duration 1 2
Precip Begin 8 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 6 AM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 74/1000 1900 None
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
DSI 2 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4400 3900
Transport Wind (mph) W 8 NE 20
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 35200 78000
ADI Early 5 Very Poor 27 Fair 6 Very Poor 55 Gen Good
ADI Late 4 Very Poor 34 Fair 20 Gen Poor 65 Good
Max LVORI Early 8 9 7 3
Max LVORI Late 9 3 7 1
Min VSBY Early 7 1 Rain 6 Rain
Min VSBY Late 2 Fog 6 Rain 7
Turner Stability F B E D
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
77 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
59 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
62 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum
RH 89 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
56 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
90 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
90 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...VAO