Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
571
FNUS52 KILM 171931
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
331 PM EDT Mon Jun 17 2024
.DISCUSSION...
Rain-free and seasonably warm conditions for much of this week
as high pressure sits well offshore. A system moving out of the
Bahamas could bring rain chances Friday before heat builds over
the weekend.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-181145-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
331 PM EDT Mon Jun 17 2024
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None None
LAL 1 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 64 86 64 87
Max/Min RH (%) 91 50 94 50
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SE 5 E 4 E 5 G17 E 5
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var E 9 G18 Lgt/Var E 9 G19
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 74/0800 2000 71/0700
Dispersion Very Poor Poor
Haines Index 4 4 4 4
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5000 5700
Transport Wind (mph) E 17 E 18
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 85000 102600
ADI Early 62 Good 85 Good 87 Good 97 Good
ADI Late 6 Very Poor 98 Good 6 Very Poor 96 Good
Max LVORI Early 4 5 4 5
Max LVORI Late 5 1 5 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 93 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
60 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 99 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-181145-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
331 PM EDT Mon Jun 17 2024
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None None
LAL 1 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 65 90 64 89
Max/Min RH (%) 95 41 94 44
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SE 4 Lgt/Var E 4 Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var E 7 Lgt/Var E 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 76/0900 2100 73/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
Haines Index 3 4 4 4
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6100 6300
Transport Wind (mph) E 16 E 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 97600 94500
ADI Early 68 Good 79 Good 92 Good 92 Good
ADI Late 5 Very Poor 107 Very Good5 Very Poor 105 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 4 6 4 6
Max LVORI Late 6 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 45 percent. East
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 90s. Minimum RH 45 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH
46 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
95 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-181145-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
331 PM EDT Mon Jun 17 2024
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None None
LAL 1 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 66 86 64 87
Max/Min RH (%) 94 49 94 50
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SE 5 E 5 G17 E 6 G18 NE 6 G18
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var E 9 G19 Lgt/Var E 9 G19
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 74/0900 2100 72/0800
Dispersion Very Poor Poor
Haines Index 4 4 4 4
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5400 5800
Transport Wind (mph) E 17 E 18
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 91800 104400
ADI Early 61 Good 88 Good 92 Good 90 Good
ADI Late 6 Very Poor 99 Good 6 Very Poor 108 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 4 5 4 5
Max LVORI Late 5 1 5 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F B E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 94 percent. East winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
East winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent. Northeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 100 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-181145-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
331 PM EDT Mon Jun 17 2024
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None None
LAL 1 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 64 89 64 89
Max/Min RH (%) 95 42 96 46
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SE 4 Lgt/Var SE 5 NE 4
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var E 8 Lgt/Var E 7
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2100 76/0900 2100 73/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
Haines Index 3 4 4 4
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6200 6500
Transport Wind (mph) E 17 E 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 105400 104000
ADI Early 69 Good 83 Good 98 Good 89 Good
ADI Late 5 Very Poor 112 Very Good5 Very Poor 109 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 4 6 4 6
Max LVORI Late 6 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 90s. Minimum RH 44 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH
45 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
95 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...CRM