Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
731
FNUS52 KILM 171246
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
846 AM EDT Mon Aug 17 2026
.DISCUSSION...
Very hot and humid through Tuesday with low rain chances near the
coast. Additional storms may return thereafter with only a minor
downtrend in temperatures.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-180200-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
846 AM EDT Mon Aug 17 2026
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 99 76 99
Min/Max RH (%) 49 90 48
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var SW 4 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 5 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 82/0900 1900 84/0900
Dispersion Poor
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5600 7600
Transport Wind (mph) W 12 SW 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 67200 91200
ADI Early 25 Fair 7 Poor 30 Fair
ADI Late 61 Good 5 Very Poor 86 Good
Max LVORI Early 8 4 5
Max LVORI Late 2 5 2
Min VSBY Early 6 Fog 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 62 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 66 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-180200-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
846 AM EDT Mon Aug 17 2026
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 99 76 97
Min/Max RH (%) 43 89 46
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 84/1000 1900 81/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6500 7100
Transport Wind (mph) W 10 W 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 65000 71000
ADI Early 23 Fair 6 Very Poor 30 Fair
ADI Late 70 Good 6 Very Poor 81 Good
Max LVORI Early 8 4 5
Max LVORI Late 2 5 1
Min VSBY Early 4 Fog 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 51 percent. Light
winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Light winds.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-180200-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Red Hill, Loris, and Aynor
846 AM EDT Mon Aug 17 2026
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 99 76 99
Min/Max RH (%) 50 86 46
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var S 4 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 82/0900 2000 83/0900
Dispersion Poor
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6200 7600
Transport Wind (mph) SW 8 W 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 49600 76000
ADI Early 22 Fair 6 Very Poor 30 Fair
ADI Late 49 Gen Good 6 Very Poor 78 Good
Max LVORI Early 8 4 4
Max LVORI Late 3 5 1
Min VSBY Early 3 Fog 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum
RH 99 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Light winds.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 65 percent.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-180200-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
846 AM EDT Mon Aug 17 2026
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 100 76 97
Min/Max RH (%) 42 84 44
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 84/1000 2000 82/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6600 7000
Transport Wind (mph) W 8 W 9
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 52800 63000
ADI Early 21 Fair 5 Very Poor 33 Fair
ADI Late 55 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 77 Good
Max LVORI Early 8 3 4
Max LVORI Late 2 4 1
Min VSBY Early 4 Fog 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Light winds.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 51 percent. Light
winds.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Light winds.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...VAO