Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
659
FNUS52 KILM 150600
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
200 AM EDT Wed Oct 15 2025
.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will build across the area today, producing near-
normal temperatures. Cooler air will follow a dry cold front
tonight through the end of the week. Warmer temperatures return
this weekend as high pressure settles overhead.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is None.
NCZ105>110-151900-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
200 AM EDT Wed Oct 15 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Clear Clear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 75 52 70
Min/Max RH (%) 58 92 35
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) N 5 Lgt/Var N 6 G17
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) N 6 Lgt/Var N 8 G17
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 60/0900 1900 57/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3500 3700
Transport Wind (mph) N 16 N 21
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 56000 77700
ADI Early 46 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 61 Good
ADI Late 67 Good 6 Very Poor 72 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 5 4
Max LVORI Late 3 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
71 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
80 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
61 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 95 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
83 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-151900-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
200 AM EDT Wed Oct 15 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Mclear Clear Clear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 76 53 70
Min/Max RH (%) 50 92 33
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) N 4 Lgt/Var N 5
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) N 5 Lgt/Var N 7
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 60/0900 1800 56/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3800 3800
Transport Wind (mph) N 16 N 18
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 60800 68400
ADI Early 54 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 63 Good
ADI Late 68 Good 6 Very Poor 76 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 5 4
Max LVORI Late 2 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
75 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 35 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
58 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 92 percent. South winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
82 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-151900-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
200 AM EDT Wed Oct 15 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Mclear Clear Clear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 75 54 71
Min/Max RH (%) 59 95 40
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) N 4 Lgt/Var N 6
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) N 6 Lgt/Var N 8
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 60/0900 1900 58/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 1 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3500 3900
Transport Wind (mph) N 16 N 17
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 56000 66300
ADI Early 48 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 52 Gen Good
ADI Late 66 Good 5 Very Poor 65 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 5 5
Max LVORI Late 3 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
74 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
85 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
65 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 96 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-151900-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
200 AM EDT Wed Oct 15 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Mclear Clear Clear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 77 53 71
Min/Max RH (%) 51 94 37
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) N 4 Lgt/Var NE 5
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) N 5 Lgt/Var N 7
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 60/0900 1800 57/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3800 3900
Transport Wind (mph) N 14 N 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 53200 62400
ADI Early 56 Gen Good 4 Very Poor 53 Gen Good
ADI Late 62 Good 5 Very Poor 66 Good
Max LVORI Early 7 5 5
Max LVORI Late 2 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
79 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
Light winds.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
59 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 93 percent. South winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
85 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...21