Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
330
FNUS52 KILM 250604
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
104 AM EST Tue Nov 25 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Temperatures well above-normal today and Wednesday with isolated
to scattered showers possible. Arctic air will follow a strong
cold front Wednesday night. Temperatures well below normal and
much drier air arrive for Thanksgiving Day and linger through
Saturday. A slow warming trend begins Sunday as high pressure
moves off the coast.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-251915-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
104 AM EST Tue Nov 25 2025
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Showers None None
Chance Precip (%) 20 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 77 60 79
Min/Max RH (%) 58 100 63
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) SE 4 S 4 SW 8 G20
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) S 6 SW 5 SW 10 G22
Precip Amount 0.02 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 0
Precip Begin 2 PM
Precip End 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 68/1000 1600 68/0900
Dispersion Fair
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4100 3800
Transport Wind (mph) S 17 SW 26
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 69700 98800
ADI Early 50 Gen Good 9 Poor 57 Gen Good
ADI Late 58 Gen Good 11 Poor 66 Good
Max LVORI Early 8 8 5
Max LVORI Late 4 7 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability C E D
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum
RH 86 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 31 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear, colder. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum
RH 61 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs around 50. Minimum RH 31 percent.
Northwest winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Maximum RH
69 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH
36 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Not as cool. Highs in the mid 60s.
Minimum RH 67 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers. Not as cool. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
100 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 73 percent. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-251915-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
104 AM EST Tue Nov 25 2025
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None Showers
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 20
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 76 60 78
Min/Max RH (%) 57 100 56
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var S 4 SW 8 G23
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) S 6 G18 S 5 SW 10 G24
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End 1 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 67/1100 1700 68/0900
Dispersion Fair
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4200 3300
Transport Wind (mph) S 20 SW 21
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 84000 69300
ADI Early 42 Gen Good 7 Poor 56 Gen Good
ADI Late 54 Gen Good 12 Poor 62 Good
Max LVORI Early 8 9 5
Max LVORI Late 4 8 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability D E D
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. Maximum RH
73 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 27 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear, colder. Lows around 30. Maximum RH
61 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 40s. Minimum RH 28 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 20s. Maximum RH
69 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 40s. Minimum RH
30 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum
RH 79 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Not as cool. Highs in the lower 60s.
Minimum RH 59 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers. Not as cool. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-251915-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
104 AM EST Tue Nov 25 2025
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Showers None Showers
Chance Precip (%) 20 0 10
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 76 60 78
Min/Max RH (%) 67 100 62
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) SE 4 Lgt/Var SW 7 G19
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) S 6 SW 4 SW 9 G20
Precip Amount 0.01 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 0 1
Precip Begin 12 PM 7 AM
Precip End 4 PM 1 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 69/1000 1600 68/0900
Dispersion Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3300 3600
Transport Wind (mph) S 18 SW 25
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 59400 90000
ADI Early 40 Fair 8 Poor 56 Gen Good
ADI Late 41 Gen Good 11 Poor 63 Good
Max LVORI Early 8 9 5
Max LVORI Late 4 7 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability D E D
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum
RH 82 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 31 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear, colder. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum
RH 63 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 29 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Maximum RH
67 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH
37 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum
RH 84 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Not as cool. Highs in the mid 60s.
Minimum RH 66 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers. Warmer. Lows around 50. Maximum RH 100 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 72 percent. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-251915-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
104 AM EST Tue Nov 25 2025
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None Showers
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 20
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 76 60 77
Min/Max RH (%) 61 100 53
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var S 4 SW 8 G21
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) S 6 G17 S 5 SW 10 G21
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.01
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End 1 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 66/1000 1700 67/0900
Dispersion Fair
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3600 3600
Transport Wind (mph) S 18 SW 24
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 64800 86400
ADI Early 39 Fair 9 Poor 54 Gen Good
ADI Late 46 Gen Good 12 Poor 60 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 8 9 5
Max LVORI Late 4 7 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability D E D
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum
RH 73 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 27 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows around 30. Maximum RH 63 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs around 50. Minimum RH 26 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 20s. Maximum RH
67 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 40s. Minimum RH
29 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
75 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Not as cool. Highs in the lower 60s.
Minimum RH 58 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers. Not as cool. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...III