Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
744
FNUS52 KILM 061741
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
141 PM EDT Mon Oct 6 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Scattered showers may move onshore tonight, but overall, the
weather is expected to remain dry early this week. A warming trend
will continue through midweek, before a cold front brings cooler
temperatures and chances of rain for the latter half of the week.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-070645-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
141 PM EDT Mon Oct 6 2025
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type Showers None None Showers
Chance Precip (%) 20 0 0 40
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 63 84 65 85
Max/Min RH (%) 100 58 100 62
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var SE 5 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.06
Precip Duration 1 1
Precip Begin 12 AM 2 PM
Precip End 5 AM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 74/1000 1900 71/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4300 4900
Transport Wind (mph) SE 13 SW 9
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 55900 44100
ADI Early 8 Poor 45 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 34 Fair
ADI Late 4 Very Poor 58 Gen Good 4 Very Poor 37 Fair
Max LVORI Early 6 8 7 9
Max LVORI Late 9 2 9 3
Min VSBY Early 7 6 Fog 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
69 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum
RH 85 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 70s. Minimum RH 76 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 60s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 76 percent. North winds around
10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum
RH 92 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
60 percent. Northwest winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
90 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-070645-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
141 PM EDT Mon Oct 6 2025
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type None None None Showers
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 50
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 63 85 65 85
Max/Min RH (%) 100 53 100 57
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var SE 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.12
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 8 AM
Precip End Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 73/1000 1900 70/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4700 4900
Transport Wind (mph) SE 12 SW 9
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 56400 44100
ADI Early 6 Very Poor 38 Fair 5 Very Poor 29 Fair
ADI Late 5 Very Poor 61 Good 4 Very Poor 37 Fair
Max LVORI Early 6 8 7 8
Max LVORI Late 9 1 9 3
Min VSBY Early 7 2 Fog 7
Min VSBY Late 6 Fog 7 7
Turner Stability F B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
83 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
67 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
69 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum
RH 91 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
54 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
93 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-070645-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
141 PM EDT Mon Oct 6 2025
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type None None None Showers
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 30
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 66 84 65 85
Max/Min RH (%) 100 59 100 61
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) E 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var SE 5 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 2 PM
Precip End Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 75/1000 1900 71/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4400 4700
Transport Wind (mph) SE 14 SW 7
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 61600 32900
ADI Early 10 Poor 50 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 25 Fair
ADI Late 5 Very Poor 61 Good 4 Very Poor 31 Fair
Max LVORI Early 6 8 9 9
Max LVORI Late 9 2 9 3
Min VSBY Early 7 5 Fog 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
around 60. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs around
70. Minimum RH 72 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum
RH 87 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 70s. Minimum RH 77 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
North winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 94 percent. Northeast
winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
71 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum
RH 94 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
58 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
92 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-070645-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
141 PM EDT Mon Oct 6 2025
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type None None None Showers
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 50
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 64 85 64 85
Max/Min RH (%) 100 53 100 55
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var SE 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.10
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 8 AM
Precip End Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 74/1000 1900 70/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4500 4700
Transport Wind (mph) SE 12 SW 8
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 54000 37600
ADI Early 6 Very Poor 44 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 28 Fair
ADI Late 5 Very Poor 59 Gen Good 4 Very Poor 32 Fair
Max LVORI Early 6 8 8 9
Max LVORI Late 9 1 9 2
Min VSBY Early 7 1 Fog 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
62 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
83 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
67 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
64 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
94 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
53 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
92 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...Weiner