Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
787
FNUS52 KILM 210640
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
240 AM EDT Mon Sep 21 2026
.DISCUSSION...
Above normal temperatures continue today, a cold front will cross
the area Tuesday night, with elevated rain chances Tuesday
through Thursday. However, no significant drought relief is
anticipated. Temperatures will drop below normal for the end of
the week and the weekend.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is Moderate.
NCZ105>110-211945-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
240 AM EDT Mon Sep 21 2026
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 20 70
Chance Thunder (%) 0 20 50
Max/Min Temp 91 68 88
Min/Max RH (%) 54 100 66
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) E 4 Lgt/Var E 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.12
Precip Duration 1 3
Precip Begin 1 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 81/1000 1900 75/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4700 3900
Transport Wind (mph) E 8 E 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 37600 39000
ADI Early 19 Gen Poor 6 Very Poor 29 Fair
ADI Late 40 Fair 3 Very Poor 27 Fair
Max LVORI Early 9 7 8
Max LVORI Late 2 9 3
Min VSBY Early 0 Fog 7 4 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 5 Rain 5 Rain
Turner Stability B F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum RH 81 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
North winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of showers
40 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 75 percent. North winds around
10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum
RH 90 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
55 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
81 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
84 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-211945-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
240 AM EDT Mon Sep 21 2026
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 50
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 50
Max/Min Temp 92 68 90
Min/Max RH (%) 45 100 57
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var E 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.11
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 2 PM
Precip End Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 80/1000 1900 74/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5700 5000
Transport Wind (mph) E 8 E 9
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 45600 45000
ADI Early 19 Gen Poor 5 Very Poor 29 Fair
ADI Late 47 Gen Good 3 Very Poor 36 Fair
Max LVORI Early 9 6 8
Max LVORI Late 2 9 3
Min VSBY Early 1 Fog 7 1 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 3 Fog 6 Rain
Turner Stability B F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 82 percent. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 78 percent. North winds around
10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum
RH 91 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
53 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
80 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
84 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-211945-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Red Hill, Loris, and Aynor
240 AM EDT Mon Sep 21 2026
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 30 60
Chance Thunder (%) 0 20 50
Max/Min Temp 91 68 88
Min/Max RH (%) 58 100 65
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) E 4 Lgt/Var E 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.03 0.13
Precip Duration 1 3
Precip Begin 2 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 80/1000 2000 75/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4600 4400
Transport Wind (mph) E 9 E 8
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 41400 35200
ADI Early 18 Gen Poor 7 Poor 25 Fair
ADI Late 41 Gen Good 3 Very Poor 29 Fair
Max LVORI Early 9 7 8
Max LVORI Late 3 9 3
Min VSBY Early 3 Fog 7 3 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 5 Rain 6 Rain
Turner Stability B F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 77 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. North winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 76 percent. North winds around
10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
90 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
North winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
81 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
83 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-211945-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
240 AM EDT Mon Sep 21 2026
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 40
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 40
Max/Min Temp 93 68 90
Min/Max RH (%) 46 100 55
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var E 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.10
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 1 PM
Precip End Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 80/1000 1900 74/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6100 5000
Transport Wind (mph) E 8 E 7
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 48800 35000
ADI Early 20 Gen Poor 5 Very Poor 27 Fair
ADI Late 50 Gen Good 3 Very Poor 34 Fair
Max LVORI Early 9 6 8
Max LVORI Late 1 9 3
Min VSBY Early 2 Fog 7 1 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 2 Fog 6 Rain
Turner Stability B F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Highs around 80. Minimum RH 77 percent. Northeast winds around
5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
76 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum
RH 92 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
53 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
80 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
83 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 41 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...III