145
FNUS52 KILM 170533
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
133 AM EDT Thu Jul 17 2025

.DISCUSSION...
Bermuda high pressure will bring southwesterly winds and hot
weather across the Carolinas through the weekend. A weak front
is expected to approach from the north early next week with
increased chances for showers and thunderstorms along with
slightly cooler temps.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.

Fog potential for tonight is Low.

NCZ105>110-171845-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
133 AM EDT Thu Jul 17 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Pcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        None         Tstms
Chance Precip (%)     20           0            40
Chance Thunder (%)    20           0            40
Max/Min Temp          93           75           97
Min/Max RH (%)        53           92           53
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) SW  6        SW  7 G18    SW  5
Wind 20ft/Late (mph)  SW  9 G18    SW  5        SW  6
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.01
Precip Duration       1                         1
Precip Begin          8 AM                      8 AM
Precip End            6 PM                      Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time)  78/0800      2000         79/0800
Dispersion                         Fair
DSI                   2                         3
Mixing Hgt (ft)       4800                      5800
Transport Wind (mph)  SW 20                     SW 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    96000                     87000
ADI Early             77 Good      15 Gen Poor  59 Gen Good
ADI Late              86 Good      10 Poor      74 Good
Max LVORI Early       5            4            5
Max LVORI Late        1            5            1
Min VSBY Early        7            7            7
Min VSBY Late         7            7            7
Turner Stability      B            F            B

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum
RH 94 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with thunderstorms likely and a chance of
showers. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 70 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
94 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-171845-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
133 AM EDT Thu Jul 17 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Pcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        None         Tstms
Chance Precip (%)     30           0            40
Chance Thunder (%)    30           0            40
Max/Min Temp          94           75           97
Min/Max RH (%)        51           93           52
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) SW  5        S  5         SW  4
Wind 20ft/Late (mph)  SW  6        SW  4        SW  4
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.02
Precip Duration       1                         1
Precip Begin          2 PM                      2 PM
Precip End            6 PM                      Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time)  76/0800      2000         78/0800
Dispersion                         Fair
DSI                   3                         3
Mixing Hgt (ft)       4900                      5400
Transport Wind (mph)  SW 18                     W 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    88200                     81000
ADI Early             76 Good      11 Poor      54 Gen Good
ADI Late              100 Good     8 Poor       83 Good
Max LVORI Early       5            4            5
Max LVORI Late        1            5            1
Min VSBY Early        7            7            7
Min VSBY Late         7            7            7
Turner Stability      B            F            B

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 64 percent. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ054>056-058-059-171845-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
133 AM EDT Thu Jul 17 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Pcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        None         Tstms
Chance Precip (%)     30           0            30
Chance Thunder (%)    30           0            30
Max/Min Temp          93           74           97
Min/Max RH (%)        50           98           50
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) SW  4        S  6 G18     SW  4
Wind 20ft/Late (mph)  SW  7 G18    SW  4        SW  5
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration       1                         1
Precip Begin          8 AM                      8 AM
Precip End            6 PM                      6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time)  77/0800      2000         78/0800
Dispersion                         Fair
DSI                   2                         3
Mixing Hgt (ft)       5300                      5800
Transport Wind (mph)  SW 16                     SW 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    84800                     75400
ADI Early             67 Good      11 Poor      44 Gen Good
ADI Late              74 Good      7 Poor       61 Good
Max LVORI Early       5            4            5
Max LVORI Late        1            6            1
Min VSBY Early        7            7            7
Min VSBY Late         7            7            7
Turner Stability      B            F            B

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
95 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum
RH 92 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 71 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-171845-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
133 AM EDT Thu Jul 17 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Pcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)     30           20           30
Chance Thunder (%)    20           20           30
Max/Min Temp          94           74           97
Min/Max RH (%)        49           96           48
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) SW  4        SW  4        Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph)  SW  6        Lgt/Var      SW  5
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.01
Precip Duration       1            0            1
Precip Begin          1 PM         Continuing   2 PM
Precip End            Continuing   8 PM         Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time)  75/0800      2000         77/0800
Dispersion                         Poor
DSI                   3                         3
Mixing Hgt (ft)       5200                      6300
Transport Wind (mph)  SW 16                     W 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    83200                     88200
ADI Early             70 Good      8 Poor       50 Gen Good
ADI Late              99 Good      7 Poor       83 Good
Max LVORI Early       5            3            5
Max LVORI Late        1            6            1
Min VSBY Early        7            7            7
Min VSBY Late         7            7            7
Turner Stability      B            F            B

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
95 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
92 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with thunderstorms likely. Highs in the
mid 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Chance of thunderstorms
60 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
   NOT USED                    0             0 TO 14759
    0 TO 17249                 1         14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

Forecaster...21