Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
707
FNUS52 KILM 050505
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
105 AM EDT Fri Sep 5 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Warmer temperatures are expected this weekend. The next chance of
showers and storms will come on Sunday as a cold front moves
through the area. Cooler temperatures return early next week with
the potential for unsettled weather under a wedge of high
pressure.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-051815-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
105 AM EDT Fri Sep 5 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Clear Pcldy Mclear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 92 67 92
Min/Max RH (%) 46 100 48
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SE 4 Lgt/Var SE 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 79/1000 1900 80/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5800 5500
Transport Wind (mph) SE 8 S 7
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 46400 38500
ADI Early 17 Gen Poor 6 Very Poor 16 Gen Poor
ADI Late 45 Gen Good 4 Very Poor 44 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 8 6 9
Max LVORI Late 2 9 2
Min VSBY Early 6 Fog 7 1 Fog
Min VSBY Late 7 0 Fog 7
Turner Stability A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 98 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
55 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
79 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Highs around 80. Minimum RH 64 percent. North winds around
10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 89 percent. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 70 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
59 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-051815-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
105 AM EDT Fri Sep 5 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 92 67 94
Min/Max RH (%) 41 100 40
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 79/1000 1900 80/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6500 6000
Transport Wind (mph) S 9 SW 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 58500 60000
ADI Early 27 Fair 6 Very Poor 19 Gen Poor
ADI Late 63 Good 5 Very Poor 62 Good
Max LVORI Early 8 5 9
Max LVORI Late 1 9 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 1 Fog
Min VSBY Late 7 0 Fog 7
Turner Stability A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 92 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
47 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
76 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
54 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
62 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
50 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-051815-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
105 AM EDT Fri Sep 5 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 90 67 92
Min/Max RH (%) 49 100 49
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 79/1000 1900 80/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6100 5700
Transport Wind (mph) SE 7 S 7
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 42700 39900
ADI Early 16 Gen Poor 6 Very Poor 15 Gen Poor
ADI Late 45 Gen Good 4 Very Poor 40 Fair
Max LVORI Early 8 6 9
Max LVORI Late 2 9 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 1 Fog
Min VSBY Late 7 1 Fog 7
Turner Stability A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 98 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
58 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
78 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 64 percent.
Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
57 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-051815-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
105 AM EDT Fri Sep 5 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 92 66 92
Min/Max RH (%) 43 100 42
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var S 4 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 79/1000 1900 79/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6800 6100
Transport Wind (mph) S 7 SW 8
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 47600 48800
ADI Early 27 Fair 7 Poor 21 Fair
ADI Late 59 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 59 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 7 5 8
Max LVORI Late 1 9 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 2 Fog
Min VSBY Late 7 1 Fog 7
Turner Stability A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 99 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 92 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
47 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
76 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH
59 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
48 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$