Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
379
FNUS52 KILM 020623
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
223 AM EDT Fri Oct 2 2026
.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will maintain generally dry weather and warming
temperatures into Saturday morning. Moisture levels will be on
the rise over the weekend ahead of a cold front which will lead to
moderate to high rain chances Saturday afternoon through Monday.
Cooler and drier conditions are expected starting Monday night.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is Moderate.
NCZ105>110-021930-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
223 AM EDT Fri Oct 2 2026
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type None None Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 70
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 20
Max/Min Temp 91 68 88
Min/Max RH (%) 47 99 66
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.25
Precip Duration 2
Precip Begin 8 AM
Precip End Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 78/1000 1900 80/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5400 3400
Transport Wind (mph) SW 9 W 7
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 48600 23800
ADI Early 18 Gen Poor 5 Very Poor 17 Gen Poor
ADI Late 46 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 21 Fair
Max LVORI Early 9 6 8
Max LVORI Late 3 8 4
Min VSBY Early 0 Fog 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the
upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent.
Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Showers. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 87 percent. Chance
of showers 90 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Chance of showers 90 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum RH 87 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
98 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
58 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
62 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum
RH 98 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
60 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-021930-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
223 AM EDT Fri Oct 2 2026
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type None None Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 90
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 20
Max/Min Temp 92 69 87
Min/Max RH (%) 43 99 63
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.39
Precip Duration 3
Precip Begin 8 AM
Precip End Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 76/1000 1900 78/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5800 3300
Transport Wind (mph) SW 9 W 7
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 52200 23100
ADI Early 18 Gen Poor 5 Very Poor 17 Gen Poor
ADI Late 58 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 22 Fair
Max LVORI Early 9 5 8
Max LVORI Late 2 7 4
Min VSBY Early 0 Fog 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 6 Rain
Turner Stability B F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Chance of showers 90 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Showers. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 89 percent.
Chance of showers 90 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Chance of showers 90 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 83 percent. North winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
99 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
84 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
54 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum
RH 96 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
54 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-021930-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Red Hill, Loris, and Aynor
223 AM EDT Fri Oct 2 2026
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 60
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 20
Max/Min Temp 91 69 87
Min/Max RH (%) 49 100 68
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.23
Precip Duration 3
Precip Begin 8 AM
Precip End Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 78/1000 1900 79/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5600 4000
Transport Wind (mph) SW 9 S 8
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 50400 32000
ADI Early 17 Gen Poor 5 Very Poor 17 Gen Poor
ADI Late 46 Gen Good 4 Very Poor 24 Fair
Max LVORI Early 9 6 9
Max LVORI Late 3 9 4
Min VSBY Early 0 Fog 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 6 Rain
Turner Stability B F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the
upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent.
Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Showers. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 89 percent. Chance
of showers 90 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Chance of showers 90 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum RH 88 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
99 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
55 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
58 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum
RH 95 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
58 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-021930-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
223 AM EDT Fri Oct 2 2026
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 70
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 20
Max/Min Temp 91 69 86
Min/Max RH (%) 46 98 67
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.27
Precip Duration 4
Precip Begin 8 AM
Precip End Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 75/1000 1900 78/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5800 3700
Transport Wind (mph) SW 9 S 7
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 52200 25900
ADI Early 15 Gen Poor 5 Very Poor 18 Gen Poor
ADI Late 56 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 24 Fair
Max LVORI Early 9 5 9
Max LVORI Late 3 8 3
Min VSBY Early 0 Fog 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 5 Rain
Turner Stability B F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Chance of showers 90 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Showers. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 92 percent.
Chance of showers 90 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Chance of showers 90 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 85 percent. North winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
52 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
84 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH
52 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
96 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
53 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$