Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
699
FNUS52 KILM 091300
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
900 AM EDT Fri May 9 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Rain chances continue today near the coast ahead of an
approaching cold front. This cold front will stall near the area
this weekend, possibly maintaining unsettled weather near the
coast through Sunday. An area of low pressure develops over the
southeastern US early next week leading to an extended period of
unsettled weather.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-100500-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
900 AM EDT Fri May 9 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Showers
Chance Precip (%) 70 40 20
Chance Thunder (%) 50 40 0
Max/Min Temp 85 58 72
Min/Max RH (%) 57 91 42
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) S 4 Lgt/Var NE 7
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 5 N 5 NE 5
Precip Amount 0.11 0.06 0.00
Precip Duration 4 1 0
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing 2 PM
Precip End Continuing 11 PM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 68/0900 2000 61/0600
Dispersion Poor
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5300 4100
Transport Wind (mph) SW 15 NE 9
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 79500 36900
ADI Early 36 Fair 8 Poor 47 Gen Good
ADI Late 62 Good 10 Poor 37 Fair
Max LVORI Early 6 5 4
Max LVORI Late 2 5 2
Min VSBY Early 6 Rain 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B E C
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers. Lows around 60. Maximum RH 82 percent. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent. East winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 83 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the mid 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of precipitation
90 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum RH 85 percent. Chance of precipitation
90 percent. Southeast winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the
mid 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 72 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-100500-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
900 AM EDT Fri May 9 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 100 30 0
Chance Thunder (%) 20 30 0
Max/Min Temp 85 57 72
Min/Max RH (%) 51 88 36
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) S 4 Lgt/Var NE 7
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) W 5 N 5 NE 5
Precip Amount 0.11 0.03 0.00
Precip Duration 4 1
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 10 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 70/1000 2000 60/0600
Dispersion Poor
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5900 3800
Transport Wind (mph) W 14 E 7
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 82600 26600
ADI Early 43 Gen Good 7 Poor 52 Gen Good
ADI Late 82 Good 10 Poor 40 Fair
Max LVORI Early 5 5 4
Max LVORI Late 1 4 2
Min VSBY Early 5 Rain 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum
RH 78 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers. Lows around 60. Maximum RH 97 percent. East winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 80 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation
90 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum RH 79 percent. Chance of precipitation
90 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely. Highs in the lower
80s. Minimum RH 66 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 99 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent. West winds around
5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-100500-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
900 AM EDT Fri May 9 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Showers
Chance Precip (%) 100 30 30
Chance Thunder (%) 50 30 0
Max/Min Temp 86 59 71
Min/Max RH (%) 57 92 51
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) E 5 Lgt/Var NE 8
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 5 N 4 E 7
Precip Amount 0.12 0.05 0.05
Precip Duration 3 1 1
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing 8 AM
Precip End Continuing 4 AM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 70/1000 2000 63/0600
Dispersion Poor
DSI 3 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5300 3200
Transport Wind (mph) SW 13 NE 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 68900 38400
ADI Early 32 Fair 8 Poor 48 Gen Good
ADI Late 52 Gen Good 12 Poor 41 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 6 6 4
Max LVORI Late 2 6 2
Min VSBY Early 5 Rain 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 6 Rain
Turner Stability B F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Lows around 60. Maximum RH 89 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 66 percent. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Lows
in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. East winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum RH 85 percent. Chance of precipitation 90 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation near
100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum RH 79 percent. Chance of precipitation
90 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with showers likely. Highs in the lower
80s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the upper 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-100500-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
900 AM EDT Fri May 9 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Showers
Chance Precip (%) 100 20 20
Chance Thunder (%) 20 20 0
Max/Min Temp 86 57 72
Min/Max RH (%) 53 86 40
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) S 4 Lgt/Var NE 7
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) W 5 N 5 NE 5
Precip Amount 0.11 0.01 0.02
Precip Duration 2 1 1
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing 8 AM
Precip End Continuing 11 PM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 66/0900 2000 62/0800
Dispersion Poor
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5800 3400
Transport Wind (mph) W 13 E 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 75400 34000
ADI Early 35 Fair 7 Poor 49 Gen Good
ADI Late 60 Gen Good 12 Poor 41 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 6 5 4
Max LVORI Late 1 4 2
Min VSBY Early 3 Rain 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B E C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 85 percent. East winds around
5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers. Lows around 60. Maximum RH 100 percent. East winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum RH 83 percent. Chance of precipitation 90 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation near
100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum RH 73 percent. Chance of precipitation
90 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely. Highs in the lower
80s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 100 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the upper 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...Boatman