Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
736
FNUS52 KILM 191209
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
809 AM EDT Sat Sep 19 2026
.DISCUSSION...
Weak high pressure will build in this weekend behind a cold front
moving across tonight. Another cold front is expected Tuesday and
it looks like a stronger boundary but there will still be limited
moisture with its passage.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is Moderate.
NCZ105>110-200115-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
809 AM EDT Sat Sep 19 2026
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 60 30 30
Chance Thunder (%) 50 30 20
Max/Min Temp 87 68 89
Min/Max RH (%) 69 100 61
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var E 4 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) NE 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.16 0.09 0.04
Precip Duration 2 1 1
Precip Begin 11 AM Continuing 8 AM
Precip End Continuing 5 AM 5 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 73/0600 1900 78/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3200 4300
Transport Wind (mph) NE 10 E 7
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 32000 30100
ADI Early 23 Fair 8 Poor 25 Fair
ADI Late 25 Fair 5 Very Poor 26 Fair
Max LVORI Early 9 6 8
Max LVORI Late 3 9 3
Min VSBY Early 6 Rain 6 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 6 Rain 7 7
Turner Stability C F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
around 70. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 72 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 76 percent.
North winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum RH 70 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
North winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 93 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 60 percent.
North winds around 10 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-200115-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
809 AM EDT Sat Sep 19 2026
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 50 30 20
Chance Thunder (%) 50 30 20
Max/Min Temp 88 68 89
Min/Max RH (%) 65 100 54
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) NE 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.12 0.06 0.01
Precip Duration 1 1 0
Precip Begin 11 AM Continuing 2 PM
Precip End Continuing 9 PM 5 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 74/0900 1900 77/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3700 4400
Transport Wind (mph) NE 10 NE 6
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 37000 26400
ADI Early 23 Fair 7 Poor 22 Fair
ADI Late 27 Fair 4 Very Poor 32 Fair
Max LVORI Early 9 7 8
Max LVORI Late 3 9 3
Min VSBY Early 3 Rain 6 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 6 Rain 7 7
Turner Stability C F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
around 70. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Chance of showers
40 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum RH 76 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
North winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
68 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 93 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
57 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-200115-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Red Hill, Loris, and Aynor
809 AM EDT Sat Sep 19 2026
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 60 50 30
Chance Thunder (%) 50 50 30
Max/Min Temp 89 69 87
Min/Max RH (%) 66 100 64
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.15 0.22 0.02
Precip Duration 2 2 1
Precip Begin 1 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 77/1000 1900 76/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4400 4000
Transport Wind (mph) NE 8 E 7
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 35200 28000
ADI Early 23 Fair 8 Poor 21 Fair
ADI Late 29 Fair 4 Very Poor 25 Fair
Max LVORI Early 9 7 8
Max LVORI Late 3 9 3
Min VSBY Early 6 Rain 6 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 6 Rain 7 7
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
65 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 73 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 75 percent.
North winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 94 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 70 percent.
North winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 63 percent.
North winds around 10 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-200115-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
809 AM EDT Sat Sep 19 2026
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 40 30 0
Chance Thunder (%) 40 20 0
Max/Min Temp 89 69 88
Min/Max RH (%) 61 100 56
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) NE 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.10 0.09 0.00
Precip Duration 1 1
Precip Begin 1 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 6 AM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 75/0900 1900 73/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4500 4600
Transport Wind (mph) NE 8 NE 7
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 36000 32200
ADI Early 22 Fair 7 Poor 20 Gen Poor
ADI Late 37 Fair 4 Very Poor 34 Fair
Max LVORI Early 9 8 9
Max LVORI Late 3 9 3
Min VSBY Early 3 Rain 6 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 6 Rain 7 7
Turner Stability C F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 57 percent. Light
winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 100 percent. Light
winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum RH 73 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
67 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 92 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
58 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...29