Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
994
FNUS52 KILM 180623
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
223 AM EDT Fri Sep 18 2026
.DISCUSSION...
Hot weather today will be slightly tempered by a cold front
heading into Saturday with only a small amount of rain expected
with the frontal passage. Another cold front is expected Tuesday
and it looks like a stronger boundary but there will still be
limited moisture with its passage.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is None.
NCZ105>110-181930-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
223 AM EDT Fri Sep 18 2026
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 40 60
Chance Thunder (%) 0 40 50
Max/Min Temp 94 69 89
Min/Max RH (%) 47 99 64
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) W 4 Lgt/Var E 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.11 0.13
Precip Duration 1 1
Precip Begin 8 PM 1 PM
Precip End 4 AM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 79/1000 1900 75/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4900 4000
Transport Wind (mph) W 9 NE 8
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 44100 32000
ADI Early 23 Fair 6 Very Poor 23 Fair
ADI Late 47 Gen Good 3 Very Poor 27 Fair
Max LVORI Early 7 5 7
Max LVORI Late 2 8 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 75 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 72 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
North winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
71 percent. North winds around 15 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-181930-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
223 AM EDT Fri Sep 18 2026
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 40 60
Chance Thunder (%) 0 40 50
Max/Min Temp 95 70 89
Min/Max RH (%) 43 100 62
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var NE 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.10 0.14
Precip Duration 1 2
Precip Begin 6 PM 2 PM
Precip End 2 AM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 78/1000 1900 74/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4700 4200
Transport Wind (mph) W 8 NE 8
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 37600 33600
ADI Early 18 Gen Poor 4 Very Poor 32 Fair
ADI Late 43 Gen Good 3 Very Poor 42 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 6 6 8
Max LVORI Late 2 9 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
61 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of showers
40 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 71 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
North winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
74 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-181930-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Red Hill, Loris, and Aynor
223 AM EDT Fri Sep 18 2026
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 30 70
Chance Thunder (%) 0 20 50
Max/Min Temp 94 69 90
Min/Max RH (%) 47 99 62
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.03 0.20
Precip Duration 1 2
Precip Begin 8 PM 2 PM
Precip End 3 AM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 79/1000 1900 75/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4500 5000
Transport Wind (mph) W 7 NE 7
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 31500 35000
ADI Early 19 Gen Poor 4 Very Poor 18 Gen Poor
ADI Late 32 Fair 4 Very Poor 27 Fair
Max LVORI Early 8 5 9
Max LVORI Late 2 8 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 6 Rain
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent.
Light winds.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 100 percent. Light
winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 75 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 73 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
North winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 96 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
70 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-181930-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
223 AM EDT Fri Sep 18 2026
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 40 60
Chance Thunder (%) 0 40 50
Max/Min Temp 95 69 91
Min/Max RH (%) 44 100 59
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.04 0.21
Precip Duration 1 2
Precip Begin 6 PM 2 PM
Precip End 2 AM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 79/1000 1900 74/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4600 5300
Transport Wind (mph) W 7 NE 7
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 32200 37100
ADI Early 16 Gen Poor 4 Very Poor 24 Fair
ADI Late 35 Fair 3 Very Poor 35 Fair
Max LVORI Early 7 6 9
Max LVORI Late 2 9 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 6 Rain
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
62 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 59 percent. Light
winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of showers
40 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 70 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
72 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$