Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
428
FNUS52 KILM 110604
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
204 AM EDT Sat Oct 11 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Low pressure off the Florida East Coast will move northward along
the coast today. As the low moves north this weekend gusty winds
and rain are expected along with cool temperatures. Dry weather
and near normal temperatures are expected for most of next week.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Unfavorable
Type 1-B...Direction NE...Maximum Wind 40 mph at 3000 ft.
Fog potential for tonight is None.
NCZ105>110-111915-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
204 AM EDT Sat Oct 11 2025
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Cloudy Cloudy Mcldy
Precip Type Rain Rain Showers
Chance Precip (%) 100 100 60
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 69 63 72
Min/Max RH (%) 86 100 87
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) NE 11 G23 N 16 G29 N 11 G23
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) NE 14 G28 N 14 G27 N 10 G19
Precip Amount 1.34 0.91 0.26
Precip Duration 12 11 3
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 65/1000 1800 66/0900
Dispersion Excellent
DSI 1 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 2000 2100
Transport Wind (mph) NE 25 N 18
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 50000 37800
ADI Early 33 Fair 26 Fair 38 Fair
ADI Late 45 Gen Good 26 Fair 36 Fair
Max LVORI Early 5 5 5
Max LVORI Late 4 5 4
Min VSBY Early 2 Rain 3 Rain 4 Rain
Min VSBY Late 2 Rain 3 Rain 5 Rain
Turner Stability D D D
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
around 60. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
77 percent. Northwest winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
97 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
North winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
91 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
82 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
83 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-111915-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
204 AM EDT Sat Oct 11 2025
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Cloudy Cloudy Mcldy
Precip Type Rain Rain Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 80 80 70
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 20
Max/Min Temp 68 62 70
Min/Max RH (%) 81 100 83
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) N 10 G21 N 13 G25 N 11 G25
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) N 12 G24 N 14 G25 N 10 G23
Precip Amount 0.50 0.90 0.36
Precip Duration 9 11 8
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 60/0600 1900 63/0600
Dispersion Excellent
DSI 1 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 1900 2300
Transport Wind (mph) NE 23 N 22
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 43700 50600
ADI Early 32 Fair 24 Fair 54 Gen Good
ADI Late 41 Gen Good 25 Fair 48 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 5 5 4
Max LVORI Late 4 5 4
Min VSBY Early 4 Rain 4 Rain 3 Rain
Min VSBY Late 3 Rain 4 Rain 3 Rain
Turner Stability D D D
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 50s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
74 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
98 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
92 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
80 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
83 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-111915-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
204 AM EDT Sat Oct 11 2025
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Cloudy Cloudy Mcldy
Precip Type Rain Rain Showers
Chance Precip (%) 100 100 60
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 67 62 70
Min/Max RH (%) 83 100 89
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) N 12 G24 N 14 G28 N 11 G23
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) N 14 G28 N 14 G26 N 9 G19
Precip Amount 0.69 0.97 0.40
Precip Duration 11 11 7
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 61/0600 1900 63/0600
Dispersion Excellent
DSI 1 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 1800 2200
Transport Wind (mph) NE 24 NW 21
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 43200 46200
ADI Early 35 Fair 24 Fair 44 Gen Good
ADI Late 41 Gen Good 24 Fair 42 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 5 5 4
Max LVORI Late 4 5 4
Min VSBY Early 3 Rain 4 Rain 3 Rain
Min VSBY Late 2 Rain 4 Rain 3 Rain
Turner Stability D D D
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Lows around 60. Maximum RH 100 percent. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
73 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
99 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
92 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum
RH 84 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
82 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-111915-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
204 AM EDT Sat Oct 11 2025
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Cloudy Cloudy Mcldy
Precip Type Rain Rain Showers
Chance Precip (%) 70 70 70
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 67 60 68
Min/Max RH (%) 78 100 84
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) N 11 G20 N 13 G24 N 11 G22
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) N 14 G23 N 13 G23 N 10 G20
Precip Amount 0.35 0.93 0.51
Precip Duration 6 9 8
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 59/0600 1900 None
Dispersion Excellent
DSI 1 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 1700 2200
Transport Wind (mph) NE 22 N 23
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 37400 50600
ADI Early 35 Fair 24 Fair 48 Gen Good
ADI Late 39 Fair 25 Fair 45 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 4 5 4
Max LVORI Late 4 5 4
Min VSBY Early 5 Rain 5 Rain 4 Rain
Min VSBY Late 4 Rain 5 Rain 3 Rain
Turner Stability D D D
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Northwest
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
69 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
99 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
92 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
48 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
81 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
81 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation below normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...21