Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
463
FNUS72 KILM 150047 AAA
FWSILM
Spot Forecast for Quarry...UPDATED
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
847 PM EDT Tue Jul 14 2026
Forecast is based on forecast start time of 2000 EDT on July 14.
If conditions become unrepresentative...or if you have questions
or concerns about this forecast...contact the National Weather
Service in Wilmington at 910-762-1374.
.DISCUSSION...
The Fog potential index ranges from 0 to 3 and provides the
threat for fog potential of 5sm or lower. The index ranges
between 0 and 3...
0 = None
1 = Low
2 = Moderate
3 = High
(Correction to the wording in this paragraph)
For this region, a fog potential index of 2 by midnight will
further increase to a 3 during the predawn Wed hrs as sfc winds
go periodically calm. Any fog after sunrise, should dissipate
between 8am and 9am.
.REST OF TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Chance of thunder...10 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 73.
Max humidity........97 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds around 5 mph early in the evening
becoming light.
Min mixing hgt......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 7 to 14 mph.
Min vent rate.......Poor (2948 mph-ft).
Max LVORI...........8.
Min ADI.............3.
Chance of lightning.10 percent.
TIME (EDT) 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........56 45 29 32 31 24 20 25 23 34
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of thdr (%).10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Chc of ltng (%).10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............81 79 78 77 77 76 75 75 74 74
RH..............81 85 87 90 90 93 94 95 96 97
20 FT wind dir..E E E NE NE NE NE N N N
20 FT wind spd..5 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1
20 FT wind gust.8 6 5 4 4 3 2 2 3 3
Mix hgt (kft)...1.5 1.1 0.8 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.E E E E E E NE NE NE NE
Transp wind spd.14 13 12 12 10 8 7 7 7 7
Stability.......E F F F F F F F F F
LVORI...........4 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 8 8
ADI.............9 6 5 5 5 4 3 3 3 3
Vrate mph-ft/1K.20 13 9 7 5 4 3 3 3 3
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
Sfc pres (in)...003 003 003 005 005 005 002 002 002 001
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Chance of thunder...10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 92.
Min humidity........59 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 6 mph late
in the afternoon.
Max mixing hgt......3900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 6 to 8 mph shifting to the south 7 to
9 mph late in the afternoon.
Max vent rate.......Poor (25161 mph-ft).
Max LVORI...........6.
Max ADI.............33.
Chance of lightning.10 percent.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........28 32 31 36 27 26 23 27 35 27 25 20
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of thdr (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 0 10 10 0
Chc of ltng (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 0 10 10 0
Temp............74 74 77 80 85 88 89 90 90 90 91 89
RH..............96 95 91 83 69 64 61 59 59 61 59 63
20 FT wind dir..N N NE NE NE N NE SE SE SE SE SE
20 FT wind spd..1 1 2 2 3 3 3 3 5 5 6 6
20 FT wind gust.3 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 6 7 8 8
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.7 1.6 3.1 3.8 3.9 3.8 3.4 2.7 2.6 2.6
Transp wind dir.NE NE NE NE NE NE NE E SE S S S
Transp wind spd.8 8 8 8 7 6 6 6 7 9 9 9
Stability.......A A A A A A A A A A B B
LVORI...........6 6 5 3 3 2 2 2 2 1 1 2
ADI.............8 8 8 16 27 28 28 28 30 33 30 30
Vrate mph-ft/1K.3 3 6 13 21 22 22 22 23 25 24 24
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
Sfc pres (in)...001 001 005 005 005 005 005 005 002 002 002 998
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 75.
Max humidity........94 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph early in the evening
becoming light.
Min mixing hgt......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 12 mph shifting to the west around
9 mph after 3 am.
Min vent rate.......Poor (4290 mph-ft).
Max LVORI...........6.
Min ADI.............4.
Chance of lightning.0 percent.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........8 4 3 8 3 0 2 2 1 1 0 0
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of thdr (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Chc of ltng (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............88 86 83 81 80 79 79 79 78 77 76 76
RH..............65 68 77 82 85 87 88 89 90 94 94 94
20 FT wind dir..S S S S S S SW SW SW SW W W
20 FT wind spd..5 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
20 FT wind gust.7 6 5 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
Mix hgt (kft)...2.1 1.9 1.1 0.8 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW W W
Transp wind spd.10 12 12 10 10 10 10 10 10 9 9 9
Stability.......F F F F F F F F F F F F
LVORI...........3 3 4 4 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 6
ADI.............5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4
Vrate mph-ft/1K.22 22 13 9 7 6 5 5 5 5 5 4
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
Sfc pres (in)...998 998 997 997 997 000 000 000 997 997 997 997
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 93.
Min humidity........61 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 8 mph in the
afternoon.
Max mixing hgt......3500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 7 to 14 mph shifting to the south
around 15 mph late in the afternoon.
Max vent rate.......Marginal (36987 mph-ft).
Max LVORI...........6.
Max ADI.............45.
Chance of lightning.0 percent.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........1 1 0 0 1 1 3 6 8 10 11 13
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of thdr (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Chc of ltng (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............75 76 79 82 86 90 91 92 92 92 91 90
RH..............94 94 90 82 73 65 62 61 62 62 62 64
20 FT wind dir..W W W W W SW SW S S S S S
20 FT wind spd..1 1 1 1 2 3 5 6 7 8 8 8
20 FT wind gust.3 3 3 3 3 8 9 10 10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.5 0.9 1.5 2.5 3.5 3.3 3.0 3.2 3.2 2.7 2.2
Transp wind dir.W W W W W W SW SW SW S S S
Transp wind spd.7 7 8 8 8 8 8 10 10 12 14 15
Stability.......A A A A A A A B B B B B
LVORI...........6 6 5 4 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
ADI.............7 7 9 16 26 36 35 39 41 45 44 41
Vrate mph-ft/1K.3 3 7 12 20 28 27 31 33 37 36 32
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
Sfc pres (in)...997 997 998 998 998 999 999 999 995 995 995 994
$$
Forecaster...Hoehler
Requested by...Safety Officer
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2617378.0/ILM
.DELDT 07/14/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL thomas.crate@ncparks.gov