589
FNUS72 KILM 141107
FWSILM

Spot Forecast for Samworth...SCDNR
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
607 AM EST Tue Jan 14 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EST on January 14.
If conditions become unrepresentative...or if you have questions
or concerns about this forecast...contact the National Weather
Service in Wilmington at 910-762-1374.

.DISCUSSION...
Northerly winds this morning will shift, becoming NW and WNW this
afternoon. Maximum wind gusts up to 20 mph after 12 PM.

Cold and dry weather will be in place through the next several
days. Rain chances will return this weekend.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.

Fog potential for tonight is None.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 50.
Min humidity........30 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 7 mph.
Max mixing hgt......3100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 14 to 16 mph shifting to the northwest
                    around 13 mph late in the afternoon.
Max vent rate.......Fair (45150 mph-ft).
Max LVORI...........4.
Max ADI.............48.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (EST)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............36  40  44  46  48  50  50  50  50  49
RH..............79  63  52  44  39  34  32  33  34  38
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..5   6   7   6   6   6   6   6   6   5
20 FT wind gust.8   9   11  12  13  13  14  15  14  8
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.7 1.4 2.1 2.7 2.8 3.1 3.1 3.0 0.6
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.14  16  16  14  14  14  14  14  15  13
Stability.......C   C   C   C   C   C   C   C   C   C
LVORI...........4   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   2
ADI.............11  12  29  35  41  43  45  45  48  10
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
Vrate mph-ft/1K.6   12  22  29  37  39  42  43  45  7
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  FR  FR  FR  PR
Sfc pres (in)...021 021 028 028 028 027 027 027 025 025

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 32.
Max humidity........71 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming west 6 to 8 mph late in
                    the evening.
Min mixing hgt......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 18 mph.
Min vent rate.......Poor (4081 mph-ft).
Max LVORI...........3.
Min ADI.............5.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........0   0   0   10  20  24  27  31  34  34  32  25
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............45  42  40  38  38  38  38  37  37  36  35  34
RH..............46  53  58  61  62  63  63  67  66  66  67  68
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..3   2   2   3   3   6   7   8   8   8   8   7
20 FT wind gust.5   4   5   5   6   10  12  13  13  13  13  13
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.NW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW  N
Transp wind spd.10  10  10  10  13  14  16  17  18  18  16  16
Stability.......F   F   F   F   F   F   E   E   E   E   E   E
LVORI...........2   2   3   3   3   3   2   3   3   3   3   3
ADI.............5   5   5   5   6   6   11  12  12  12  11  11
Haines index....4   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
Vrate mph-ft/1K.4   4   4   4   5   6   7   8   9   9   8   8
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR
Sfc pres (in)...025 030 030 030 033 033 033 029 029 029 030 030

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 44.
Min humidity........32 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 6 to 9 mph becoming light.
Max mixing hgt......3400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 12 to 18 mph.
Max vent rate.......Fair (57534 mph-ft).
Max LVORI...........3.
Max ADI.............59.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........16  9   6   3   0   1   2   3   5   7   8   11
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............33  32  33  33  36  38  40  41  43  44  43  41
RH..............69  71  65  60  50  44  38  34  32  32  32  37
20 FT wind dir..NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..7   7   8   9   9   8   7   7   6   6   6   3
20 FT wind gust.12  13  14  14  14  13  12  11  11  10  9   7
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 1.1 1.8 2.2 2.6 3.0 3.3 3.4 3.3 3.2 2.3
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.16  16  18  18  18  18  18  17  15  15  14  12
Stability.......C   C   C   C   C   C   C   C   C   C   C   C
LVORI...........3   3   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............12  12  25  41  48  54  59  59  51  48  46  32
Haines index....5   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
Vrate mph-ft/1K.8   8   20  32  40  47  55  58  50  47  44  27
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  FR  FR  FR  FR  FR  FR  PR
Sfc pres (in)...030 037 037 037 041 041 041 035 035 035 032 032

$$
Forecaster...Baker
Requested by...Kayla Brantley
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2500554.0/ILM
.DELDT 01/14/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Brantleyk@dnr.sc.gov