552
FNUS72 KILM 221341
FWSILM

Spot Forecast for Y-Inter Juniper Rd &3A-2...NC Wildlife
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
841 AM EST Thu Jan 22 2026

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EST on January 22.
If conditions become unrepresentative...or if you have questions
or concerns about this forecast...contact the National Weather
Service in Wilmington at 910-762-1374.

.DISCUSSION...
Temperatures and moisture gradually rebound through Friday,
retreating away from critical relative humidity thresholds. Look
for a light west-northwest breeze at 5-8 mph or less throughout
today. A winter storm will impact the area through the weekend,
where rain may transition into freezing rain at times Saturday
afternoon through Sunday morning. Conditions gradually improve
next week, though very cold air remains.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.

Fog potential for tonight is None.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 63.
Min humidity........48 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming west around 5 mph early in
                    the afternoon, then becoming light late in the
                    afternoon.
Max mixing hgt......2400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 7 to 14 mph.
Max vent rate.......Poor (27792 mph-ft).
Max LVORI...........4.
Max ADI.............32.

TIME (EST)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........68  40  37  33  30  39  47  56  58
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............48  53  56  59  61  62  62  62  59
RH..............81  70  60  53  49  48  49  50  56
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   NW
20 FT wind spd..2   3   3   5   5   5   3   3   2
20 FT wind gust.5   6   7   7   8   7   6   5   3
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 1.1 1.4 1.8 2.2 2.4 2.1 1.7 0.4
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.10  14  13  13  12  12  10  8   7
Stability.......C   C   C   C   C   C   C   C   C
LVORI...........4   3   2   2   1   1   2   2   3
ADI.............8   18  22  28  31  32  26  17  5
Vrate mph-ft/1K.5   15  17  22  26  28  22  14  3
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 43.
Max humidity........93 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Min mixing hgt......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 5 to 7 mph shifting to the northeast 5 to
                    8 mph late in the evening.
Min vent rate.......Poor (1933 mph-ft).
Max LVORI...........6.
Min ADI.............2.

TIME (EST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........59  61  64  66  69  61  56  53  65  55  52  54
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............55  53  52  50  49  47  46  46  45  44  45  44
RH..............65  71  75  79  83  88  90  91  92  93  92  89
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
20 FT wind gust.3               2   2   2   2   2   3   3   4
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.NW  N   N   N   N   N   NE  N   NE  NE  N   NE
Transp wind spd.5   6   6   5   7   6   6   5   6   6   6   8
Stability.......F   F   F   F   F   F   F   F   F   F   F   F
LVORI...........3   3   4   5   5   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
ADI.............2   3   3   2   3   3   3   2   3   3   3   4
Vrate mph-ft/1K.2   2   2   2   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   3
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain.
Max temperature.....Around 56.
Min humidity........67 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming north around 5 mph late in
                    the morning.
Max mixing hgt......1100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 8 to 14 mph.
Max vent rate.......Poor (15391 mph-ft).
Max LVORI...........5.
Max ADI.............19.

TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........62  71  88  84  80  82  85  87  88  89  90  91
Weather cov.....    CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....    RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN
Tstm cov........
Temp............44  44  46  49  52  54  55  55  56  55  54  51
RH..............87  86  87  80  72  69  67  67  67  68  70  74
20 FT wind dir..N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   3   3   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.5   5   5   6   7   8   8   8   8   8   8   8
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.5 0.6 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  N   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.9   9   8   9   9   8   9   9   10  12  13  14
Stability.......C   C   C   C   D   D   D   D   D   D   D   D
LVORI...........5   5   5   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
ADI.............7   7   6   9   12  10  11  12  14  16  17  19
Vrate mph-ft/1K.4   4   5   8   9   8   9   10  11  13  14  15
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

$$
Forecaster...Boatman
Requested by...Hagen Blake
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2600880.0/ILM
.DELDT 01/22/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL hagen.blake@ncwildlife.gov