Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
170
FNUS72 KILM 191151
FWSILM
Spot Forecast for Black River Rx...The Nature Conservancy
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
651 AM EST Thu Feb 19 2026
Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EST on February 19.
If conditions become unrepresentative...or if you have questions
or concerns about this forecast...contact the National Weather
Service in Wilmington at 910-762-1374.
.DISCUSSION...
Above normal temperatures with southwest winds gusting near 18 mph
in the afternoon. An approaching front will lead to increasing rain
chances through the weekend, with a chance of showers Friday and
stronger southwest winds.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) then becoming
mostly sunny (45-55 percent).
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 76.
Min humidity........56 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 9 mph in
the late morning and afternoon.
Max mixing hgt......3500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 12 to 21 mph.
Max vent rate.......Good (71237 mph-ft).
Max LVORI...........6.
Max ADI.............64.
TIME (EST) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........80 80 80 81 79 75 59 61 45 50
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of thdr (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............60 63 66 69 73 75 75 75 76 74
RH..............92 87 83 75 64 58 57 57 56 64
20 FT wind dir..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT wind spd..2 3 5 7 8 9 9 8 8 7
20 FT wind gust.8 11 13 15 18 19 18 16 14 14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.9 1.1 1.9 2.7 3.4 3.5 3.2 3.1 1.9
Transp wind dir.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
Transp wind spd.12 12 14 16 18 21 20 18 20 18
Stability.......C D D D D D D D C B
LVORI...........6 5 4 3 1 1 1 1 1 1
ADI.............9 13 19 30 42 53 51 46 64 46
Vrate mph-ft/1K.6 10 16 30 50 71 69 59 61 36
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR FR GD GD FR GD PR
Sfc pres (in)...986 986 989 989 989 984 984 984 979 979
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Patchy fog
overnight. Patchy fog after 3 am.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 58.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 6 mph.
Min mixing hgt......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 13 to 16 mph.
Min vent rate.......Poor (6317 mph-ft).
Max LVORI...........8.
Min ADI.............6.
TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........42 39 42 59 61 63 61 62 68 68 69 63
Weather cov..... PTY PTY PTY
Weather type.... FOG FOG FOG
Tstm cov........
Chc of thdr (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............70 68 64 63 62 61 61 59 61 61 61 62
RH..............75 78 88 93 97 98 100 100 99 99 98 95
20 FT wind dir..SW S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT wind spd..6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
20 FT wind gust.14 12 12 10 10 10 10 10 10 11 12 11
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7
Transp wind dir.SW S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
Transp wind spd.13 14 13 15 14 15 14 15 14 15 16 15
Stability.......E F E E E E E E E E E E
LVORI...........3 4 5 5 8 7 8 7 8 7 7 5
ADI.............8 6 8 10 9 10 9 10 9 10 11 10
Vrate mph-ft/1K.6 7 7 9 9 9 8 8 8 9 10 10
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
Sfc pres (in)...979 978 978 978 981 981 981 979 979 979 978 978
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Patchy fog early
in the morning. Slight chance of showers in the
morning. Chance of showers in the afternoon.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 80.
Min humidity........62 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 6 to 10 mph. Gusts up to 24 mph
early in the morning.
Max mixing hgt......3700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 23 mph shifting to the west 25
to 30 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Max vent rate.......Excellent (109959 mph-ft).
Max LVORI...........5.
Max ADI.............79.
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........70 75 82 84 86 84 82 80 73 66 59 59
Weather cov.....PTY SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....FOG RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of thdr (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............62 62 64 67 70 73 75 77 79 79 78 76
RH..............97 97 94 90 86 80 74 68 65 62 62 65
20 FT wind dir..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W
20 FT wind spd..6 6 7 8 10 10 10 10 10 9 9 7
20 FT wind gust.11 12 14 17 18 20 20 20 20 19 17 14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 0.8 1.4 2.3 2.8 3.2 3.5 3.7 3.6 3.5 3.4 2.4
Transp wind dir.SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W W W W
Transp wind spd.15 17 17 23 25 28 29 30 30 29 29 25
Stability.......D D D D D D D D D D D D
LVORI...........5 5 4 4 4 3 3 1 1 1 1 1
ADI.............16 19 27 47 59 69 74 79 77 75 74 53
Vrate mph-ft/1K.11 14 24 52 71 89 99 110 106 102 98 60
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR FR GD GD GD VGD VGD VGD GD GD
Sfc pres (in)...978 980 980 980 979 979 979 976 976 976 972 972
$$
Forecaster...Warner
Requested by...Nathan Burmester
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2603169.0/ILM
.DELDT 02/19/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL nathan.burmester@tnc.org