Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wilmington, OH
Issued by NWS Wilmington, OH
670 FXUS61 KILN 011813 AFDILN Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wilmington OH 213 PM EDT Thu Oct 1 2026 .WHAT HAS CHANGED... Increased rainfall amounts for tonight into Friday. && .KEY MESSAGES... 1) Above normal temperatures will be in place today. A cold front on Friday will lead to generally below normal temperatures through at least the middle of next week. 2) Precipitation is expected tonight into Friday, otherwise expect generally dry conditions through the next week. && .DISCUSSION... Key Message 1) High temperatures will be in the 80s in most locations this afternoon with a few spots near 90 degrees. Breezy conditions will continue into the early evening hours. A cold front will move through on Friday ushering in cooler air through the day. Temperatures will then generally be below normal through at least the middle of next week. There will be the potential that a few spots will have some patchy frost Monday night and then again Tuesday night. Key Message 2) Rain showers will start to move into the region late in the overnight hours and into the daytime hours on Friday before tapering off. While some locally heavy rainfall will be possible, flooding is not a concern at this time. NBM QPF seemed on the low side given model consensus on higher values and therefore increased QPF for the event. Instability is limited and therefore while some rumbles of thunder will be possible, do not expect widespread thunderstorms. Generally dry conditions are expected the remainder of the week after Friday. && .AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/... VFR conditions will start out the TAF period. A few cu will be possible along with some mid and high clouds. Breezy conditions will be in place through the early evening with wind gusts around 20 to 25 knots. Wind gusts will subside this evening, however expects winds to stay up some overnight. Rain showers will move into the TAF sites late in the overnight hours and into the daytime hours on Friday. Vsbys will be reduced with some of the shower activity. Cannot rule out a few rumbles of thunder, however with limited instability kept any thunder mention out of the TAFs at this time. Cigs will lower overnight and into the day on Friday. Some additional wind gusts are possible at some of the area TAF sites at the end of the TAF period. OUTLOOK...MVFR/IFR ceilings are expected Friday afternoon into Friday evening. && .ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OH...None. KY...None. IN...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...08 AVIATION...08