Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wilmington, OH
Issued by NWS Wilmington, OH
463 FXUS61 KILN 251652 AFDILN Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wilmington OH 1252 PM EDT Fri Sep 25 2026 .WHAT HAS CHANGED... No significant changes. && .KEY MESSAGES... 1) A stretch of dry weather and seasonably cool temperatures can be expected through the weekend and into early next week, before rain chances return to the forecast. && .DISCUSSION... KEY MESSAGE 1) Patchy fog is possible once again Friday night into Saturday morning, especially in the river valleys where more abundant moisture exists. A deep column of dry air has settled into the region as a broad region of high pressure sags down from the northern Great Lakes. Deep northeasterly flow and mass subsidence results in dry weather, a few passing clouds, and seasonably cooler temperatures as we head into the weekend, persisting into early next week. The extended pattern looks to become more unsettled, especially mid- next week and beyond. Ensemble guidance suggests a troughing pattern moving across Canada, pulling southerly flow back into CONUS. This feature will help pull moisture from Hurricane Polo up into the central Great Plains region and translate it east toward the Ohio Valley late week. Much remains to be determined as to exactly how things will play out, but the bottom line is that the signal for rain returns as we head into October. && .AVIATION /12Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/... VFR conditions expected through the remainder of the afternoon and into the evening hours with deep layer northeasterly flow. Some passing low level clouds continue through this afternoon, tapering off by evening. River valley fog is expected again tonight, so have reduced VSBYs appropriately. A similar forecast is in place on Saturday with light northeasterly flow and diurnal cumulus. OUTLOOK...No significant weather is expected. && .ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OH...None. KY...None. IN...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...Aiena AVIATION...Aiena