033
FXUS61 KILN 300531
AFDILN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
131 AM EDT Wed Sep 30 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
No significant changes.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Seasonably warm temperatures expected today and Thursday, with
rain chances returning Thursday night into Friday.

2) Cooler and drier conditions will return Saturday and continue
into early next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Key Message 1)
Large plume of cirrus clouds associated with the system to our west
will continue to overspread the region today. Will likely begin to
observe some mid level clouds expanding across the area as well,
resulting in more filtered sunshine. Regardless, the return flow and
subtle expansion of an H5 ridge will usher in seasonably warm
temperatures across the Ohio Valley today. Majority of our counties
are likely to reach the 80 degree mark.

Guidance has continued to keep the ILN fa dry through today and the
majority of Thursday. By Thursday night however, a weak trough will
propagate through the Midwest region and usher in a band of showers.
Scattered showers will continue into Friday until a cold front
pushes through the fa. Instability will be very marginal, limiting
coverage in thunderstorms. Depending on how fast the front pushes
through, rain chances may end by Friday evening, particularly for
locations north of the Ohio River.

Key Message 2)
Global models have been pushing the cold front that moves through on
Friday even farther south into the Tennessee Valley for this weekend.
As a result, precip chances are trending lower in our CWA. A surface
high pressure now looks to build into the region, offering drier
conditions and temperatures that will generally trend below seasonal
normals this weekend and into early next week.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
River valley fog may result in some vsby reductions at KLUK yet again
this morning. Otherwise, VFR conditions are forecast through the taf
period.

A combination of some cirrus and mid level clouds will build in from
the west today and linger into tonight ahead of the next system.

OUTLOOK...MVFR/IFR ceiling and visibilities possible Friday.

&&

.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
KY...None.
IN...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Clark
AVIATION...Clark