315
FXUS61 KILN 122308
AFDILN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
708 PM EDT Sun Oct 12 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure will provide dry conditions through the upcoming
workweek. Slightly above normal temperatures early in the week will
trend a bit cooler for the second half of the week before trending
warmer again by this weekend. However, rain and storm chances will
return, along with some breezy conditions, this upcoming weekend as
well.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY MORNING/...
Elongated midlevel ridging will extend from the Great Lakes SW into
the ArkLaTex region, providing dry and seasonably mild conditions
for the local area for both the near and short term periods.

Some clouds will gradually overspread from the E this evening into
early Monday. This will occur coincident with erly moisture advection
toward/past sunset, with greatest cloud cover expected across the
ern half or so of the ILN FA by sunrise. Farther to the W, the
increase in BL moisture this evening through tonight with only a FEW
clouds could promote the development of some patchy fog, especially
in area river valleys. The overland patchy fog potential will be
highest near/S of the OH Rvr and near/W of the I-75 corridor. This
being said, there is still some uncertainty in just how widespread
the encroaching erly cloud cover will be with westward extent, which
would impact fog development in these areas.

Lows tonight will dip to around 50 degrees, with some upper 40s
likely in rural/sheltered locations.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
Monday will be very similar to today, with highs topping out in the
lower to mid 70s amidst mostly sunny skies. Any patchy/river valley fog
will dissipate by mid-morning, with cloud cover gradually scattering
a bit into the afternoon, with a SCT Cu deck expected again by
midday. Temps Monday night will bottom out in the mid 40s in the E
from central OH through NE KY to around 50 degrees near/W of I-75
with mostly clear skies.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Quiet weather will be in place for much of the week with dry
conditions expected Tuesday through Friday night.  Some patchy frost
will be possible primarily in central Ohio both Wednesday night and
Thursday night.

Heading into the weekend on Saturday a strong system will begin to
approach the region.  There is a good amount of model agreement for
this system being a week out.  There are more timing differences
than yesterday with this system, however still looks breezy on
Saturday with gustier winds on Sunday.  It will be the main chance
for rain this week as well.  Will have to continue to monitor this
system to resolve details on both strength and timing.

&&

.AVIATION /23Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Better prospects for some visibility restrictions in fog at KLUK
tonight. It may be shallow with varying visibility. Beyond that, VFR
will prevail area wide. Clouds moving in from the east will mainly
affect KCMH/KLCK tonight. Then some cumulus development will be
possible at all terminals during the latter part of the period.
Winds will be east to northeast at less than 10 kt.

OUTLOOK...No significant weather expected.

&&

.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
KY...None.
IN...None.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...
NEAR TERM...
SHORT TERM...
LONG TERM...
AVIATION...