293
FXUS61 KILN 302225
AFDILN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
625 PM EDT Fri Oct 30 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
No significant changes.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) High pressure and a somewhat cooler airmass will be found through
Saturday.


2) A series of upper level disturbances will result in occasional
rain chances through the first half of next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1)
High clouds will thicken over the region before daybreak Saturday,
which will keep highs generally between 65 to 70 degrees.

KEY MESSAGE 2)
A mid level short wave will move out of the mid Mississippi Valley
Saturday night and across the Ohio Valley Sunday into Sunday night.
There remains some uncertainty as to how much moisture will be pulled
up into our area ahead of this, with the NAM and GFS trending towards
the drier European and Canadian models which have been precip-free
for the last several runs.

A deeper mid/upper level trough is forecast to progress east across
the central CONUS early next week, but there remains significant
differences in the timing of this as well as the timing/placement/
strength of any embedded short waves. As a result, a fair bit of
uncertainty continues with the forecast through the second half of
the long term period so will still broad brush with chance pops.

&&

.AVIATION /22Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
VFR conditions are expected for the area TAF sites through the TAF
period except for the potential for some brief MVFR vsbys with river
valley location KLUK overnight. Fog formation will be dependent on
how quickly the clouds move in overnight and how thick they are. Mid
and high clouds will increase in coverage through the TAF period.
While isolated wind gusts cannot be ruled out, winds will generally
be less than 10 knots overnight and then around 10 knots during the
day.

OUTLOOK...MVFR cigs possible on Monday and Wednesday. MVFR vsbys
possible Wednesday.

&&

.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
KY...None.
IN...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Franks
AVIATION...08