Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wilmington, OH
Issued by NWS Wilmington, OH
517 FXUS61 KILN 301028 AFDILN Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wilmington OH 628 AM EDT Thu Jul 30 2026 .WHAT HAS CHANGED... No significant changes. && .KEY MESSAGES... 1) Dry through Friday with showers and thunderstorms working in from the west Friday night. Precipitation will be found through the weekend, ending Sunday night. 2) Temperatures will be within a few degrees of normal for highs, at or above normal for overnight lows. && .DISCUSSION... KEY MESSAGE 1) Dry conditions are expected through Friday. Low pressure in the Great Lakes will see disturbances cross the northern Ohio Valley, bringing the next round of showers and thunderstorms to the region. This low will evolve into a l/w trough extending from the Great lakes southwest to MO/AR on Saturday. By Sunday evening, what is expected to be a thin and quite elongated trough will see its axis cross the CWA, bringing an end to a sometimes rainy weekend. KEY MESSAGE 2) Near normal temperatures are expected for daytime highs with warmer than normal overnight lows. CAA will still be found today, resulting in some afternoon cloudiness with fair wx cu. Temperatures will drop into the 70s Saturday, near 80 on Sunday with cloud cover and rain. Readings will return to near normal for highs and above normal on lows for next week. && .AVIATION /12Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/... VFR conditions will be found across the region today and most of tonight underneath high pressure. KLUK will see MVFR vsbys prevail around 07Z and then drop to LIFR cig/vsby in fog. Some other terminals may see the sunrise surprise drop vsbys to high end MVFR or have a shallow ground fog not affecting operations. Daytime cu will develop 4-5kft and probably constitute a ceiling at some point in time for most terminals, but not enough to call it prevailing at a specific time. Either way, VFR will be the rule. There`s a hint that few-sct cu could last past evening into the overnight hours. Northerly winds 8-10kt today will quickly drop to calm or light and variable shortly after 00Z tonight. OUTLOOK...MVFR to IFR conditions are possible at times Saturday and Sunday in addition to thunderstorms. && .ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OH...None. KY...None. IN...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...Franks AVIATION...Franks