Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wilmington, OH
Issued by NWS Wilmington, OH
233 FXUS61 KILN 242329 AFDILN Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wilmington OH 729 PM EDT Fri Jul 24 2026 .WHAT HAS CHANGED... No significant changes. && .KEY MESSAGES... 1) Warm and humid conditions return on Sunday along with a chance for showers and thunderstorms early next week. && .DISCUSSION... KEY MESSAGE 1) Surface high pressure shifts east this weekend which will allow warmer temperatures and higher dew points to move back into the area from the south. Shower and thunderstorm chances return with the summer-like conditions as northwesterly flow aloft persists. Rain chances remain lower during the day on Sunday with lack of forcing before increased rain chances develop Sunday night and into early next week. One potential period for increased storm activity is Monday evening and Monday night. Instability may end up overlapping with strong shear (by July standards) when a potential cluster of storms or MCS sinks into the Ohio Valley from the northwest. Details remain very murky without CAM guidance to resolve potential convection, but there are descent probabilities for storms somewhere in the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley late Monday. Additionally, storm chances on Sunday night cannot be ruled out with favorable shear and instability in place and some guidance showing at least some storm potential in the region. Additionally, the heat index may reach 95-100 degrees on Monday afternoon. && .AVIATION /00Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... Extensive high clouds to start the period will diminish overnight. Winds will be light which will be favorable for fog formation at KLUK and also perhaps KILN and KLCK. Visibility restrictions should end around 12Z. Some cumulus may develop in the Columbus area on Saturday. Elsewhere, a mid deck will spread into the area. OUTLOOK...Thunderstorms possible Sunday night and then again Monday afternoon through Tuesday. && .ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OH...None. KY...None. IN...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...Campbell AVIATION...35