396
FXUS61 KILN 310602
AFDILN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
202 AM EDT Fri Jul 31 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
No significant changes.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Dry today with showers and thunderstorms over the weekend.
Chances for showers and storms at times next week.

2) Warm today, cool over the weekend, then warming into the middle
of next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1)

High pressure with dry conditions will exit the area this evening,
giving way to showers and thunderstorms this weekend. Some slow
moving storms and heavy rain are expected at times. Isolated strong
storms are possible on Saturday. Ahead of the upper level trough
sparking this rainfall, a surface low will move northeast and park
over Lake Erie overnight Sunday. The upper and surface low will get
hung up over West Virginia early Monday, with some lingering light
showers possible over and east of the Scioto River Valley.

The upper low is expected to retrograde and park itself over the CWA
Tuesday morning and then finally exit Wednesday night. Off and on
light showers are possible through this period as the low remains
overhead.

KEY MESSAGE 2)

Warmer temps are expected today, generally in the mid 80s. With
the expected cloud cover and rain over the weekend, highs will be
limited to the 70s and low 80s. A gradual warming trend will occur
for the coming week with highs in the middle to upper 80s by mid-
week.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Fair wx cu topped with a bkn ci deck will be found today and this
evening. Given the thickness of the higher clouds, changed the
prevailing LIFR cigs/vsbys at KLUK to a tempo group with the thought
of limited radiational cooling.

KCVG may see some light showers before daybreak ahead of a larger
area of precip expected during the day.

OUTLOOK...Thunderstorms and MVFR to IFR conditions are
possible at times Saturday through Tuesday.

&&

.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
KY...None.
IN...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Franks
AVIATION...Franks