Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Central Illinois

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322
FNUS53 KILX 160838
FWFILX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Central/Southeast Illinois
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
238 AM CST Sun Nov 16 2025

.DISCUSSION...

Modest mixing this afternoon will bring dewpoints into the teens,
resulting in min afternoon RH values of 17 to 25 percent. Coupled
with northwest winds gusting to 20 mph in east-central IL (15 mph
elsewhere), this may result in some marginal fire weather
conditions. Winds ease by late afternoon and will likely go calm
overnight as surface high pressure settles over the district, but
then they will return from the southeast tomorrow with the
approach of a low pressure system from the west. That system is
forecast to bring light rain and even a low (15%) chance of
thunder to the region with most locations receiving a tenth to a
quarter inch from tomorrow evening through Tuesday morning.
Ventilation will be fair today given the modest mixing and 10 to
15 kt northwest transport winds, but it will worsen as a low
level temperature inversion develops tomorrow ahead of the
incoming storm system - limiting mixing.


ILZ027>031-036>038-162230-
Knox-Stark-Peoria-Marshall-Woodford-Fulton-Tazewell-McLean-
Including the cities of Galesburg, Toulon, Peoria, Lacon, Eureka,
Canton, Pekin, Bloomington, and Normal
238 AM CST Sun Nov 16 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud Cover           Clear        Mclear       Pcldy
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      52 (-20)     26 (-9)      55
RH % (24h trend)      21 (-26)     73 (+11)     24
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NW  7        Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NW  8        Lgt/Var      SE  5
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    3240                      1730
1700ft Mixing Temp    47                        50
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 18                     SE  9
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    58320                     15570
Vent Rate Category    Fair                      Poor

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain likely. Lows in the lower 40s.
Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 69 percent. East winds around
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 40. Highs in the upper
50s. Minimum RH 69 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain likely. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 80 percent. East winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain likely. Lows in the upper 40s.
Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 66 percent. Northeast winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of rain. Lows in the mid 30s.
Highs in the upper 40s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.

$$

ILZ040>043-047>053-162230-
Schuyler-Mason-Logan-De Witt-Cass-Menard-Scott-Morgan-Sangamon-
Christian-Macon-
Including the cities of Rushville, Havana, Lincoln, Clinton,
Beardstown, Petersburg, Winchester, Jacksonville, Springfield,
Taylorville, and Decatur
238 AM CST Sun Nov 16 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Pcldy
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      54 (-21)     27 (-9)      56
RH % (24h trend)      18 (-22)     70 (+9)      20
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NW  6        Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NW  7        Lgt/Var      SE  6
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    3200                      2090
1700ft Mixing Temp    50                        52
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 16                     SE 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    51200                     27170
Vent Rate Category    Fair                      Poor

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain likely. Lows in the mid 40s.
Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Southeast winds
around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs around
60. Minimum RH 66 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Rain. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the lower 60s.
Minimum RH 77 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Rain likely. Lows around 50. Highs
around 60. Minimum RH 62 percent. South winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain. Cooler. Lows in the
upper 30s. Highs around 50. Minimum RH 58 percent. Northwest
winds around 5 mph.

$$

ILZ044>046-054>057-061-162230-
Piatt-Champaign-Vermilion-Moultrie-Douglas-Coles-Edgar-Shelby-
Including the cities of Monticello, Champaign, Urbana, Danville,
Sullivan, Tuscola, Charleston, Mattoon, Paris, and Shelbyville
238 AM CST Sun Nov 16 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud Cover           Clear        Mclear       Mclear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      54 (-21)     25 (-11)     55
RH % (24h trend)      18 (-30)     72 (+8)      21
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NW  8 G17    Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NW  9 G17    Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    3650                      2070
1700ft Mixing Temp    48                        50
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 22                     SE  6
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    80300                     12420
Vent Rate Category    Good                      Poor

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain likely. Lows in the lower 40s.
Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 71 percent. Southeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs around 60.
Minimum RH 71 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain likely. Lows in the mid 40s.
Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 78 percent. East winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Rain likely. Lows in the lower 50s.
Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 65 percent. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain. Cooler. Lows in the
upper 30s. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.

$$

ILZ062-063-066>068-071>073-162230-
Cumberland-Clark-Effingham-Jasper-Crawford-Clay-Richland-Lawrence-
Including the cities of Greenup, Marshall, Effingham, Newton,
Robinson, Flora, Olney, and Lawrenceville
238 AM CST Sun Nov 16 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Clear        Mclear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      56 (-21)     28 (-12)     56
RH % (24h trend)      17 (-37)     69 (+4)      22
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NW  8        Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NW  9        Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    3760                      2120
1700ft Mixing Temp    52                        52
Transport Wnd (mph)   N 18                      SE  7
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    67680                     14840
Vent Rate Category    Fair                      Poor

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain likely. Lows in the lower 40s.
Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 71 percent. Southeast winds
5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain. Lows around 50.
Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 73 percent. North winds around
5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Rain. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid 60s.
Minimum RH 79 percent. Southeast winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Rain likely. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs
in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 64 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain. Cooler. Lows in the
lower 40s. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.

$$

Bumgardner