Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Central Illinois
Issued by NWS Central Illinois
377
FNUS53 KILX 142009
FWFILX
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Central/Southeast Illinois
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
309 PM CDT Tue May 14 2024
.DISCUSSION...
A few lingering showers into Tuesday night will give way to a dry
Wednesday, though burning will not be favored given weakening
northeast transport winds and generally shallow afternoon mixing
heights, which are forecast to peak near 4 thousand feet. Fuels
will recover little before additional rain overspreads central
Illinois Thursday, with 50% or greater chances continuing through
Friday. Rain coverage will decrease this weekend, though a
stationary frontal boundary near or just north of the area will
maintain slight (20%) chances both Saturday and Sunday, when vent
rates finally improve.
ILZ027>031-036>038-151100-
Knox-Stark-Peoria-Marshall-Woodford-Fulton-Tazewell-McLean-
Including the cities of Galesburg, Toulon, Peoria, Lacon, Eureka,
Canton, Pekin, Bloomington, and Normal
309 PM CDT Tue May 14 2024
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Tstms None None Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 40 0 0 70
Temp (24h trend) 50 (-10) 74 (+6) 51 74
RH % (24h trend) 94 (-5) 50 (-29) 89 67
Wind 20ft/early(mph) NE 10 G19 NE 8 G17 NE 6 SE 6
Wind 20ft/late(mph) N 9 G18 NE 6 E 6 S 8
Precip Amount 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.19
Precip Duration 1 5
Precip Begin 6 PM 7 AM
Precip End 12 AM Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 4140 2250
1700ft Mixing Temp 65 68
Transport Wnd (mph) NE 9 S 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 37260 33750
Vent Rate Category Poor Poor
LAL 3 1 1 3
Haines Index 2 3 4 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
upper 50s. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 60 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower
80s. Minimum RH 44 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of thunderstorms. Lows around
60. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 48 percent. Southwest
winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of thunderstorms. Lows around
60. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 54 percent. South winds
10 to 15 mph.
$$
ILZ040>043-047>053-151100-
Schuyler-Mason-Logan-De Witt-Cass-Menard-Scott-Morgan-Sangamon-
Christian-Macon-
Including the cities of Rushville, Havana, Lincoln, Clinton,
Beardstown, Petersburg, Winchester, Jacksonville, Springfield,
Taylorville, and Decatur
309 PM CDT Tue May 14 2024
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Tstms None None Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 60 0 0 70
Temp (24h trend) 53 (-8) 74 (+5) 54 73
RH % (24h trend) 95 (-3) 56 (-22) 93 70
Wind 20ft/early(mph) NE 9 G19 N 8 NE 6 SE 6
Wind 20ft/late(mph) N 9 G18 N 7 E 5 S 8
Precip Amount 0.06 0.00 0.00 0.27
Precip Duration 2 5
Precip Begin 6 PM 7 AM
Precip End 3 AM Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 4200 2160
1700ft Mixing Temp 65 68
Transport Wnd (mph) NE 10 S 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 42000 30240
Vent Rate Category Poor Poor
LAL 3 1 1 3
Haines Index 3 3 4 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 66 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
upper 50s. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 55 percent. Northwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower
80s. Minimum RH 46 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the lower
60s. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 50 percent. Southwest
winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
lower 60s. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 55 percent. South winds
around 10 mph.
$$
ILZ044>046-054>057-061-151100-
Piatt-Champaign-Vermilion-Moultrie-Douglas-Coles-Edgar-Shelby-
Including the cities of Monticello, Champaign, Urbana, Danville,
Sullivan, Tuscola, Charleston, Mattoon, Paris, and Shelbyville
309 PM CDT Tue May 14 2024
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms None None Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 60 0 0 50
Temp (24h trend) 58 (-2) 73 (+4) 51 76
RH % (24h trend) 97 (-1) 57 (-23) 94 60
Wind 20ft/early(mph) NE 8 G17 N 9 NE 7 SE 5
Wind 20ft/late(mph) N 9 G17 N 8 NE 5 S 7
Precip Amount 0.17 0.00 0.00 0.10
Precip Duration 3 2
Precip Begin 6 PM 7 AM
Precip End 6 AM Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 3970 2900
1700ft Mixing Temp 66 68
Transport Wnd (mph) N 14 S 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 55580 37700
Vent Rate Category Fair Poor
LAL 4 2 1 3
Haines Index 3 3 3 4
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 70s.
Minimum RH 69 percent. South winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
upper 50s. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Highs in the lower 80s.
Minimum RH 47 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the lower
60s. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 50 percent. Southwest
winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
lower 60s. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 55 percent. South winds
around 10 mph.
$$
ILZ062-063-066>068-071>073-151100-
Cumberland-Clark-Effingham-Jasper-Crawford-Clay-Richland-Lawrence-
Including the cities of Greenup, Marshall, Effingham, Newton,
Robinson, Flora, Olney, and Lawrenceville
309 PM CDT Tue May 14 2024
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms None Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 60 20 0 40
Temp (24h trend) 60 (-1) 73 (+4) 55 77
RH % (24h trend) 100 (+1) 64 (-19) 99 60
Wind 20ft/early(mph) NE 6 N 8 N 6 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) N 6 N 7 NE 5 S 6
Precip Amount 0.29 0.01 0.00 0.09
Precip Duration 3 1 2
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing 7 AM
Precip End Continuing 6 PM Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 3690 3250
1700ft Mixing Temp 68 70
Transport Wnd (mph) N 14 S 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 51660 32500
Vent Rate Category Fair Poor
LAL 4 2 2 3
Haines Index 3 3 3 4
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 70s.
Minimum RH 74 percent. South winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of thunderstorms. Lows around
60. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 58 percent. West winds
around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower
80s. Minimum RH 49 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 50 percent. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
lower 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent. South
winds around 10 mph.
$$
Bumgardner