Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Central Illinois

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735
FNUS73 KILX 051954
FWSILX

Spot Forecast for Ashmore Field Fire 100525...Coles-Moultrie 9-1-1
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
254 PM CDT Sun Oct 5 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1500 CDT on October 05.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (217) 732-3089 if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Dry and breezy weather will continue this evening, with winds
gradually decreasing overnight and moisture gradually increasing.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible by Monday
afternoon, continuing into Tuesday, however coverage of wetting
rains will likely not be widespread. Average amounts look to be
under a half inch for most areas from I-72 northward, with amounts
closer to an inch more common close to I-70 and southward. Winds
will begin to shift to northerly Monday evening northwest of the
Illinois River, and throughout central and southeast IL by Tuesday
evening as a cold front traverses the area. With the decreasing
winds and decreasing mixing heights the next few days, ventilation
rate will decrease and become Poor.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Temperature.........83 at forecast start...Max 85.
RH..................37 percent at forecast start...Min 36 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds south at 15 mph at forecast
                    start...otherwise South winds 10 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......5500 ft AGL at forecast start...otherwise 5500
                    ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 20 to 21 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good /92800 knot-ft/ at forecast start.
                    Max...Good /98700 knot-ft/.

TIME (CDT)      3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........5   13  11
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0
Temp............83  85  84
RH..............37  36  38
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..15  15  15
20 FT wind gust.24  24  24
Mix hgt (kft)...5.5 5.5 5.0
Transp wind dir.S   S   S
Transp wind spd.20  21  21
Vrate kt-ft/1K..93  99  89
Ventrate Cat....GD  GD  GD

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Temperature.........Min 61.
RH..................Max 93 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 12 to 16 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4200 knot-ft).

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........8   6   7   8   9   8   7   6   6   6   6   8
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............82  76  71  69  68  66  66  65  64  63  62  62
RH..............43  54  63  68  73  78  78  81  84  87  90  90
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..10  10  10  7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7
20 FT wind gust.20  20  20  15  15  15  14  14  14  13  13  13
Mix hgt (kft)...1.1 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.16  14  13  13  13  13  13  13  14  14  14  12
Vrate kt-ft/1K..15  5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   4
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

$$
Forecaster...MJA
Requested by...C Hanken
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2522994.0/ILX
.DELDT 10/05/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL CHanken@co.coles.il.us