Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Indianapolis, IN

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239
FXUS63 KIND 021815
AFDIND

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Indianapolis IN
215 PM EDT Fri Oct 2 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Decreasing clouds through tonight

- Much cooler air around Saturday and again early next week.
  Potential for lows in the upper 30s in the northeast Monday
  night.

&&

.DISCUSSION (This evening through Friday)...
Issued at 215 PM EDT Fri Oct 2 2026

Rest of This Afternoon through Saturday...

Forcing continues to shift south this afternoon, keeping the bulk of
the rain south of central Indiana. There could be some
sprinkles/light drizzle in the south as some light returns have been
seen on radar. Will keep some low PoPs south, diminishing from the
north as the afternoon progresses.

Clouds will take longer to diminish though. Lower clouds will
diminish first, then mid and high clouds will eventually exit as
well. Skies likely won`t be mostly clear all areas until during the
overnight.

High pressure will rule Saturday into Saturday night, providing
quiet conditions. Some high clouds will move in from the south later
Saturday into Saturday evening. Otherwise, skies will be mostly
clear.

Lows tonight and Saturday night will be in the 40s to around 50.
Highs Saturday will be in the mid 60s to lower 70s.

Sunday onward...

Northwest flow aloft will continue across central Indiana next week.
At the surface, high pressure will be in control for most of the
period.

A cold front will move through on Sunday, but the front won`t have
any moisture to work with as the Gulf is cut off. Another cold front
will move in around Thursday night, but it too will have limited or
no moisture to work with. Thus, will go with a dry forecast
throughout the week.

Temperatures will rebound to above normal on Sunday ahead of the
front, then return to below normal for Monday and Tuesday. Low
temperatures may fall into the upper 30s across the northeastern
forecast area Monday night. With light winds and mostly clear skies,
will have to watch for the potential for patchy frost in favored
cold areas.

As high pressure moves east of the area mid-week, southerly winds
will bring back temperatures to above normal. There is some
uncertainty on how much cooler air will be behind the late week cold
front. Present indications that not much cooler air will move in
before upper heights rise again and bring in warmer air beyond the 7
day period.

&&

.AVIATION (18Z TAF Issuance)...
Issued at 100 PM EDT Fri Oct 2 2026

Impacts:

- MVFR improving to VFR from north to south before 00Z

Discussion:

Showers look to remain south of the TAF sites. MVFR ceilings will
gradually rise and break up from north to south through 00Z as drier
air filters in. Some mid and high clouds will initially remain, but
these will gradually diminish this evening.

A few gusts in the 15 to 20kt range are possible this afternoon.


&&

.IND WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

AVIATION...50
DISCUSSION...50