741
FXUS64 KJAN 291750
AFDJAN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jackson MS
1250 PM CDT Tue Sep 29 2026

...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- A dry, warm airmass remains over the region through midweek.

- Rain chances return by late week with widespread rains likely
  into the weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1250 PM CDT Tue Sep 29 2026

Tuesday night - Monday

An Upper-lvl ridge will continue to migrate over the region,
allowing dry conditions and low 90s high temps to stick around for
another day. A "Limited" fire danger will continue over northern
parts of the area as RH values (%) remain in the mid-20s. Continue
to heed any local burn bans and be cautious of outdoor burning.
Winds will gradually shift to the south, increasing moisture and RH
values Thursday into the weekend.

An upper-lvl low from the Southwest region and the absorbed remnants
of Hurricane Polo will push a frontal boundary towards the region.
Rain chances will return as the frontal boundary approaches Friday,
lasting through the weekend. Although hazardous weather is not
expected, forecast trends will be monitored as the week progress. 50-
85% probability for rain are expected with the high probabilities on
Saturday (70-90%) and Sunday (60-75% areawide). WPC estimates
rainfall totals of 2-4 inches over the weekend, which would help
improve ongoing drought conditions. /SW/

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1250 PM CDT Tue Sep 29 2026

VFR flight categories with some low clouds (FEW to SCT) in the 5-
8kft range and light surface winds today (southeasterly to variable)
with a little stronger Wednesday through the end of the 18Z TAF
cycle. /DC/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Jackson       66  92  67  92 /   0   0   0  10
Meridian      62  91  65  90 /   0   0   0  30
Vicksburg     67  93  68  93 /   0   0   0  10
Hattiesburg   64  92  67  91 /   0   0   0  60
Natchez       67  93  68  93 /   0   0   0  20
Greenville    68  95  68  94 /   0   0   0   0
Greenwood     66  94  65  93 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...None.
LA...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$

SW/DC