245
FXUS64 KJAN 281741
AFDJAN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jackson MS
1241 PM CDT Mon Sep 28 2026

...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- A dry, warm airmass remains over the region through at least
  midweek.

- Rain chances return to the region, particularly Thursday into
  the weekend when heavier rainfall may be possible.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1241 PM CDT Mon Sep 28 2026

Monday night - Sunday

Upper-lvl ridge will continue to build over the region, keeping
northwest flow, dry conditions, and high temps in the low 90s
through Wednesday. With ongoing drought conditions and RH values (%)
in the mid-20s, a "Limited" fire danger will continue over northern
parts of the area. Continue to heed any local burn bans and be
cautious of outdoor burning. As the ridge migrates eastward mid-
week, southerly flow will push moisture into the area, easing fire
weather concerns and increasing RH values through the weekend.

An upper-lvl low from the Southwest region and the absorbed remnants
of Hurricane Polo will push a frontal boundary towards the region.
Rain chances will return as the frontal boudary approaches Friday,
lasting through the weekend. Although hazardous weather is not
expected, forecast trends will be monitored as the week progress. 50-
75% probability for rain are expected with the high probability on
Sunday (60-75% areawide). WPC estimates rainfall totals of 2-4
inches over the weekend, which would help improve ongoing drought
conditions. /SW/

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1241 PM CDT Mon Sep 28 2026

VFR flight categories with some low clouds (FEW to SCT) in the 8-
15kft range and light surface winds (northeasterly becoming
southeasterly) will prevail the next 24 hours. /DC/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Jackson       63  90  63  91 /   0   0   0   0
Meridian      60  89  60  90 /   0   0   0   0
Vicksburg     63  90  64  91 /   0   0   0   0
Hattiesburg   62  92  62  92 /   0   0   0  10
Natchez       64  92  65  92 /   0   0   0   0
Greenville    61  90  63  93 /   0   0   0   0
Greenwood     59  90  61  92 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...None.
LA...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$

SW/DC