844
FXUS64 KJAN 290544
AFDJAN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jackson MS
1244 AM CDT Tue Sep 29 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- A dry, warm airmass remains over the region through at least
  midweek.

- Rain chances return to the region, particularly Thursday into
  the weekend when heavier rainfall may be possible.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1241 PM CDT Mon Sep 28 2026

Monday night - Sunday

Upper-lvl ridge will continue to build over the region, keeping
northwest flow, dry conditions, and high temps in the low 90s
through Wednesday. With ongoing drought conditions and RH values (%)
in the mid-20s, a "Limited" fire danger will continue over northern
parts of the area. Continue to heed any local burn bans and be
cautious of outdoor burning. As the ridge migrates eastward mid-
week, southerly flow will push moisture into the area, easing fire
weather concerns and increasing RH values through the weekend.

An upper-lvl low from the Southwest region and the absorbed remnants
of Hurricane Polo will push a frontal boundary towards the region.
Rain chances will return as the frontal boundary approaches
Friday, lasting through the weekend. Although hazardous weather is
not expected, forecast trends will be monitored as the week
progress. 50- 75% probability for rain are expected with the high
probability on Sunday (60-75% areawide). WPC estimates rainfall
totals of 2-4 inches over the weekend, which would help improve
ongoing drought conditions. /SW/

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1241 AM CDT Tue Sep 29 2026

VFR conditions will prevail through the forecast period. /EC/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Jackson       65  92  69  92 /   0   0   0  10
Meridian      61  91  67  91 /   0   0   0  20
Vicksburg     66  93  69  93 /   0   0   0  10
Hattiesburg   64  92  68  91 /   0   0   0  60
Natchez       66  93  69  93 /   0   0   0  20
Greenville    65  94  68  94 /   0   0   0   0
Greenwood     62  93  67  94 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...None.
LA...None.
AR...None.

&&

$$

SW/EC/