008
FXUS62 KJAX 051755
AFDJAX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
155 PM EDT Fri Jun 5 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

For the latest NE FL and SE GA Daily Key Messages please visit:
https:/www.weather.gov/media/jax/briefings/nws-jax-briefing.pdf

- High Risk for Rip Currents Today at the Northeast FL Beaches. Moderate
Risk at the Southeast GA Beaches. Moderate Risk this Weekend through
Monday at All Area Beaches

- Patchy Fog Possible Inland Early on Saturday & Sunday Mornings

- Unseasonably Dry with a Gradual Warming Trend through Monday

- Gradually Increasing Chances for Showers & Thunderstorms from

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Main Highlights This Period:

- Drier Than Normal Conditions Continue
- Moderate to High Risk for Rip Currents At Area Beaches

Dry conditions continue with surface high pressure over GA/SC shifts
eastward off the coast of the southeastern seaboard. Subsidence and
PWATs less than an inch will suppress convection through tonight.
High temps will run mostly in the mid to upper 80s, with a few spots
in the low 90s possible towards the Suwannee River Valley area. Some
high clouds look to stick around tonight which brings some
uncertainty regarding radiational cooling despite light to near calm
winds, though still opted to go a bit below most guidance given the
drier than usual conditions continuing. Overnight lows will range
from the low-mid 60s inland to the upper 60s to low 70s along the
coast and St Johns river basin. Some patchy fog will also be
possible inland in the pre-dawn hours.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
Main Highlights This Period:

- Patchy Fog Possible Early on Saturday and Sunday Mornings at
Inland Locations.

- Unseasonably Dry Conditions with Inland Temperatures Warming to
the Low and Mid 90s this Weekend.

Dry weather pattern persists over the weekend as High pressure
remains centered near Bermuda, with its western axis extending over
the FL peninsula. Southeasterly flow this weekend will continue to
bring breezy, gusty at times, conditions along the coast behind the
inland push of the Atlantic sea breeze during the afternoon hours
each day. With the continuing onshore flow, coastal locations will
be relatively cooler than inland locations. Daytime Highs in the mid
to upper 80s along the coast, with lower to mid 90s across inland
locations. Temperatures will a bit warmer on Sunday area-wide. Even
with the warmer temperatures over the area, heat index values are
expected to remain in the 90s. During the evening hours, Saturday
will have the cooler temperatures as inland locations will be in the
mid 60s with lower 70s along the coast. Warmer temperatures on
Sunday evening with Lows in the 70s area-wide. With light winds
during the overnight hours, patchy fog will be possible over inland
locations.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Main Highlights This Period:

- Unseasonably Dry Weather Continues on Monday.

- Breezy Onshore Winds Redevelop on Tuesday and Wednesday,
Increasing the Threat for Rip Currents at Area Beaches.

- Gradually Increasing Chances for Showers and Thunderstorms from
Tuesday through Thursday.

Dry conditions will persist at the start of the upcoming week with
high pressure shifting towards the Gulf ahead of a backdoor cold
front pushing south along the east coast. PWATs begin to increase
ahead of the cold front, with isolated to scattered chances of
showers and storms developing by Tuesday as the front begins to
push south through the area. Behind the front, a period of breezy
onshore winds develop through midweek as high pressure strengthens
along the eastern seaboard. PWATs continue to rise to the 1.5" to
1.8" range by midweek, with scattered chances of showers and storms
will be likely during the afternoon hours on Wednesday and Thursday
with the inland push of the Atlantic sea breeze.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z FRIDAY THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY/...
VFR conditions are expected to prevail for this period.
Generally east winds 5-10 kts continue through at least 01Z. Winds
will subside again tonight. Patchy fog may develop at GNV and VQQ
early Saturday morning. ESE winds 5-10 kts develop after 15Z.

&&

.MARINE...


High pressure centered over our local waters this morning will shift
eastward this afternoon, with this feature becoming centered near
Bermuda by late Saturday. A cold front will shift southward towards
our area on Tuesday, possibly bringing widely scattered showers and
thunderstorms to our local waters. High pressure will briefly
strengthen along the Mid-Atlantic coast in the wake of this frontal
passage, with this feature wedging down the southeastern seaboard,
providing for breezy onshore winds from Tuesday through Thursday.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible late next week
as moisture levels gradually increase.

Rip Currents: High Risk will continue across northeast FL beaches
today where the most lingering effects of onshore flow continue.
Risk will be a "high end" moderate for southeast GA beaches. Surf
heights will drop towards the 3-4 foot range.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
- Unseasonably Dry Weather Expected Through Monday

An unseasonably dry air mass will remain in place across our area
through early next week, limiting chances for rainfall. Minimum
relative humidity values will fall to around 30 percent at inland
locations each afternoon through Sunday, with values only slowly
recovering on Monday. Elevated mixing heights will continue this
weekend through Monday, but gradually decreasing transport winds
will yield generally good daytime dispersion values at inland
locations, with fair values at coastal locations, where breezy
onshore winds will develop each afternoon following the passage of
the Atlantic sea breeze boundary.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS:  Patchy fog will be possible during
the predawn and early morning hours through the weekend at inland
locations. Widespread dense fog is not anticipated.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  62  89  67  91 /   0   0   0   0
SSI  73  85  74  87 /   0   0   0   0
JAX  64  89  69  92 /   0   0   0   0
SGJ  70  87  71  88 /   0   0   0   0
GNV  64  92  67  94 /   0   0   0   0
OCF  65  91  69  94 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...High Risk for Rip Currents through late tonight for FLZ124-125-138-
     233-333.
GA...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

$$