573
FXUS62 KJAX 042304
AFDJAX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
704 PM EDT Thu Jun 4 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

For the latest NE FL and SE GA Daily Key Messages please visit:
https:/www.weather.gov/media/jax/briefings/nws-jax-briefing.pdf

- High Risk for Rip Currents Remains in Effect through Friday. Rip
Currents Risk Remains Moderate to High This Weekend

- Drier This Week, Increased TStorm Chances Next Week

- Warming Trend Through The Weekend

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 7 AM FRIDAY MORNING/...
Main Highlights This Period:

- Breezy Onshore Winds Continue Today
- High Risk for Rip Currents At Area Beaches

Dry and breezy conditions continue today, though the local pressure
gradient begins to relax as high pressure shifts into the Carolinas/
northern Georgia by Friday morning. It`s a pleasant day with mostly
sunny skies and highs in the low to mid 80s. Drier airmass remains
over the area with PWATs in the 0.7 to 1 inch range. Winds subside
tonight especially across inland areas. Calm winds and clear skies
could develop some patchy fog for portions along US 301 early Friday
morning where there is relatively better moisture. Radiational
cooling will allow temperatures to dip to near record low in the mid
50s to low 60s inland and mid 60s to low 70s closer to the coast and
St. Johns River Basin.

&&

.SHORT TERM /7 AM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
Main Highlights This Period:

- Rough Surf and a High Risk of Rip Currents Friday, with high risk
  possible Saturday.
- Mostly dry conditions

Predominantly easterly flow continues through the end of the week
into the weekend as high pressure remains situated along the eastern
sea board on Friday. The high pressure begins to shift eastward on
Friday night, leading to winds to begin to shift to southeasterly-
southerly by Saturday evening. Dry airmass persists over the area,
limiting chances of any precipitation during the forecast period. As
the afternoon sea breeze begins to push inland, winds of around 10-
15 mph and gusts of 20 mph will be likely along the east coast.

Temperatures will warm through Friday into Saturday. Daily highs
rise from into the upper 80s,  with some spots possibly in the lower
90s, for inland locations on Friday. By Saturday, inland daily highs
will be in the lower 90s. Coastal max temps still stay about mid 80s
both days. Overnight low temperatures again be fairly cool Friday
night in the lower to mid 60s inland and about lower 70s coast.
These temps will be a few degrees warmer by Saturday night. With
calmer winds during overnight hours and some low-level moisture,
there could be some very patchy fog Friday nights over inland
locations.

The main story will be the rough surf and life-threatening rip
currents at all beaches, though the surf heights will be on a
lowering trend overall.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Main Highlights This Period:

- At Least Moderate Risk of Rip Currents Sunday and Monday.

- Dry Weather Likely to Continue Sunday, with increasing chance
  of rain Monday through Wednesday.

As the high pressure along the eastern seaboard continues an
eastward shift, a trailing cold front looks to push along the east
coast as a backdoor cold front. With the cold front expected to
begin to push south of the local area and increasing moisture at the
start of the upcoming week, there are chances of some rain on Monday
and Tuesday, with highest chances on Tuesday near 30-50 percent.
Breezy northeast winds may begin on Tuesday and continue through
Wednesday. The front looks to slip just south of the forecast area
on Wednesday with a chance of showers and possible a thunderstorm.
Some chance for locally heavy rainfall around midweek with weak
signal shown from NBM 70th and 90th percentile guidance.

Temperatures will continue to be warm on Sunday and Monday, with max
temps rising into the lower 90s inland and upper 80s coast. With the
front`s influence on Tuesday and Wednesday, highs will be nudged
downward a few degrees. Lows in the upper 60s to lower 70s
generally, with some mid 70s possible at the coast after the frontal
passage due to onshore flow.

Marine influences will continue to produce elevated rip current risk
Sunday and Monday. Onshore flow may enhance risk further Tuesday
and Wednesday.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z FRIDAY THROUGH 00Z SATURDAY/...
VFR conditions to prevail this period. A little inland patchy fog
can not be ruled out, but the chances for restrictions at TAF sites
are too low to include at this point.

&&

.MARINE...


Elevated seas and breezy northeasterly winds will trend downward
through Tonight, with Small Craft exercise caution conditions
confined to offshore waters. High pressure then shifts off the
southeastern seaboard Friday into the weekend. Lighter onshore flow
then persists Friday into the weekend.

Rip Currents: High Risk will continue across area beaches today
as onshore flow persists, in addition to surf heights in the 4-5
foot range.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
- Areas To Widespread High Daytime Dispersions Through Friday

Elevated transport winds from the east continue through the end of
the week. This will allow for areas of high daytime dispersion
values, especially across inland locations. With dry air stationed
over the area, RHs values are expected to remain above critical
levels during the end of the week and through the weekend. Moisture
begins to trickle back into the area at the start of the upcoming
week, allowing for RH values to increase into midweek.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS:  Widespread fog development is not
anticipated over the next few days.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  58  87  63  89 /   0   0   0   0
SSI  70  84  74  85 /   0   0   0   0
JAX  61  87  67  89 /   0   0   0   0
SGJ  69  85  71  87 /   0   0   0   0
GNV  62  90  65  92 /   0   0   0   0
OCF  62  89  66  91 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...High Risk for Rip Currents through late Friday night for FLZ124-125-
     138-233-333.
GA...High Risk for Rip Currents through late Friday night for GAZ154-166.
MARINE...None.

&&

$$