922
FXUS62 KJAX 090601
AFDJAX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
101 AM EST Tue Dec 9 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

For the latest NE FL and SE GA Daily Key Messages please visit:
https:/www.weather.gov/media/jax/briefings/nws-jax-briefing.pdf

- Patchy Frost Inland Southeast GA Early This Morning with
  temperatures in the middle 30s.

- High Risk Rip Currents for Northeast FL beaches today.

- Freeze Warning for Inland Southeast GA Wed Morning with
  widespread frost expected.

- Small Craft Advisory this morning

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
High pressure will build in from the north-northwest through tonight
while low level winds slowly turn from the north to the northeast.
Broad mid to upper level troughing remains over the region keeping
the max temperature trends below normal (about 10 deg) for today
and tonight.

Temps have fallen off well early this morning despite some residual
low clouds in the area and north to northwest winds of about 5-10
mph with recent temperatures in the upper 30s for inland southeast
GA to 40s and some lower 50s elsewhere. With a cold advection pattern
in place, max temps today will below normal with highs in the lower
to mid 50s north half of zones to upper 50s to lower 60s southern
zones. Breezy north to northeast winds up to 10-15 mph expected,
especially coastal areas east of I-95. The mean 0-1 km northeast
flow beginning by sunrise will usher in some stratocumulus clouds
that will be develop at times through tonight, with the coastal
northeast FL under more of partly cloudy skies, but inland areas
stay mostly sunny/mostly clear. Temps tonight will drop well below
normal and have upgraded the freeze watch to a freeze warning. Some
patchy to areas of frost can be expected just south of the freeze
warning.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...

The high pressure ridge will continue to sink south of the forecast
area Wednesday as a cold front approaches from the northwest. This
cold front will move southeast across forecast area Wednesday night
through Thursday morning. The boundary is expected to pass through
dry. High pressure will build to the west Thursday, then overhead
Thursday night.

Temperatures will trend below normal this period. With cold
advection and high pressure in place, Thursday night will be well
below normal, with an inland frost, mainly over SE GA expected.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...

High pressure ridging will prevail Friday through Saturday night.

A cold front will move southeast across the area Sunday into
Sunday night. This front is expected to be move through largely
dry. While the chance is not high enough for inclusion in the
forecast at this time, a few spotty showers can not be ruled
out.

High pressure will build to the north Monday.

Temperatures will be near to above normal through Sunday, then
below Monday.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TUESDAY THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY/...

A few MVFR cigs around at 1500-2500 ft for SGJ and near SSI, but
mostly VFR conditions continuing through 12z Tuesday. Mainly VFR
clouds today, but there are indications that MVFR cigs may continue
at SGJ, and return for the other coastal TAFs so added in some TEMPO
groups for these TAFs, and GNV will likely stay VFR through late
Tuesday night. Sfc winds mainly north to northeast today increasing
to 8-12 kt after 12z, with a gust to near 15-20 kt for SGJ and
CRG.

&&

.MARINE...

High pressure will build in from the north northwest through
Wednesday morning resulting in a gradual lowering of winds and seas.
Current SCA headline will transition to exercise caution for most
area waters by about 8 AM. The high will shift south of the waters
Wednesday night as another cold front approaches from the northwest.
On Wednesday night, winds will increase again with possible small
craft advisory level winds offshore waters as the weak cold front
moves through the area waters. High pressure will move into the
area again by Friday morning and continue over the area into Saturday.
Another front will approach the area waters from the northwest
on Sunday.

Rip Currents: We have a high rip current risk for northeast FL
beaches today based latest guidance and rough surf, with moderate
risk for southeast GA beaches. A fairly strong north to south
longshore current is also anticipated. Lower rip current risk likely
for Wednesday toward moderate.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  30  62  39  59 /   0   0   0   0
SSI  40  64  45  62 /   0   0   0   0
JAX  37  68  43  65 /   0   0   0   0
SGJ  46  69  48  65 /   0   0   0   0
GNV  39  69  45  67 /   0   0   0   0
OCF  42  69  46  68 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...High Risk for Rip Currents from 4 AM EST early this morning through
     late tonight for FLZ124-125-138-233-333.
GA...Freeze Warning from 1 AM to 8 AM EST Wednesday for GAZ132>136-
     149-151>153-162-163-165-250-264-350-364.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM EST this morning for AMZ452-
     454-470-472-474.

&&

$$